Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 12

Date: 2 May 2023, Tuesday


	Fénix		Ituzaingó

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	2.75	2.65
	2.4	2.8	2.9
	2.67	2.72	2.97
	2.55	2.7	2.88
	2.55	2.94	2.92	Watch
	2.65	2.8	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.31)	2.79 ↓ (2.8)	2.84 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fénix
35.4%

Draw
32.6%

Ituzaingó
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

32.3%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

31.7%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Fénix - Ituzaingó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 17).

Fénix is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ituzaingó is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fénix will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fénix won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fénix won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
22.04.23	Comunicaciones - Fénix	1:0 ✺
17.04.23	Fénix - Cañuelas	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	UAI Urquiza - Fénix	1:2 ✺
03.04.23	Fénix - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Fénix	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LTWWW
- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera B
22.04.23	Ituzaingó - Sacachispas	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	San Miguel - Ituzaingó	3:2 ✺
07.04.23	Ituzaingó - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Colegiales - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
27.03.23	Ituzaingó - Argentino de Quilmes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
08.10.22	Ituzaingó - Fénix	0:1 penalties
24.09.22	Ituzaingó - Fénix	2:0
28.05.22	Fénix - Ituzaingó	2:1

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