The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Génesis PN 24.3%
Draw 26.8%
Olimpia Tegucigalpa 48.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.8%
28%
48.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.2%
27.3%
49.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Génesis PN - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 1.
In recent outings, Génesis has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Olimpia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Olimpia for this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Génesis has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:35 (averaging 0.9:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Génesis against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:13 goals (averaging 1.4:1.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Olimpia
8
5
2
1
19:7
12
17
5
Genesis
8
3
2
3
10:6
4
11
Last Results with these Odds
Olimpia Tegucigalpa - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 48.18%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Honduras
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