The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Génesis PN 25.4%
Draw 27.5%
Olimpia Tegucigalpa 47.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
23.8%
28%
48.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.2%
27.3%
49.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Génesis PN - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Balanta R. A. (G) 9. Alderete E. 29. Alvarado A. 24. Fonseca C. 12. Gabriel Araujo 44. Gamboa M. 15. Maldonado E. 10. Martinez W. 66. Perez K. 8. Sander R. 2. Vargas A.
22. Rodriguez O. (G) 19. Arboleda Y. (C) 3. Bennett C. 12. Canales C. 45. Cortes B. 7. Enriquez I. 26. Flores D. 18. Garcia R. 15. Guity K. 2. Hernandez E. 20. Maldonado A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Arboleda Y. ⚽,
12', Gamboa M. 🟨,
36', Gabriel Araujo 🟨,
36', Sander R. 🟨,
42', Flores D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Bennett C. 🟨,
59', Enriquez I. 🟨,
62', Guity K. 🟨,
63', Alderete E. 🟨,
67', Vargas A. 🟨,
79', Canales C. 🟨,
80', Rodriguez E. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 1.
In recent outings, Génesis has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Olimpia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Olimpia for this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Génesis has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:35 (averaging 0.9:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Génesis against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:13 goals (averaging 1.4:1.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Olimpia
11
8
2
1
23:8
15
26
9
Genesis
11
3
2
6
12:12
0
11
Last Results with these Odds
Olimpia Tegucigalpa - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 48.18%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Honduras
Watch
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Balanta R. A. (G) 
Alderete E. 
Alvarado A. 
Gabriel Araujo 
Gamboa M. 
Hernandez E. 
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