Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Gévora		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.1	1.85
	4.64	3.66	1.69	Watch
	4	3	1.85
	4.09	3.13	1.86
	4	3.2	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.7)	3.22 ↑ (3.09)	1.82 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gévora
21.9%

Draw
28.2%

Badajoz
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

29.5%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

28.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gévora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gévora than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Gévora - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Barba J. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Sanchez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 3, Alegria A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).

Gévora has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Badajoz is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Badajoz is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Gevora	5	2	2	1	8:9	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gévora
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
04.01.26	Pueblonuevo - Gévora	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Gévora - Montijo	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Moralo - Gévora	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Gévora - Diocesano	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Villafranca - Gévora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLTL
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
04.01.26	Badajoz - Calamonte	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Badajoz - Jaraíz	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Montehermoso - Badajoz	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Badajoz - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWW

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