Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 32

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Vinas N. (Arg)


	Güemes		Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.75	2.7
	2.8	2.7	2.6
	3.22	2.66	2.8
	3	2.62	2.6
	3.02	2.9	2.62
	2.95	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.56)	2.74 ↓ (2.81)	2.65 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
30.9%

Draw
34%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

32.8%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

32.4%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Güemes's form might have worsened.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Güemes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Güemes - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendonca J. (G) 4. Bellone A. O. 2. Machuca B. 6. Escudero M. 3. Gamarra G. 8. Bellone M. (C) 5. Alvarez L. 7. Casa M. 10. Vallejos I. 11. Benega S. 9. Cano L.	1. Petroli F. (G) 4. Flores L. 2. Arturia G. 6. Maffini G. (C) 3. Castet F. 8. Cainelli N. 5. Leyes N. 7. Valiente M. 11. Bajamich M. 10. Talpone N. 9. Silba L.
Substitutes
17. Almada L. 16. Carruega S. 18. Contreras E. 19. Maggi I. 13. Miers M. 12. Romero J. (G) 20. Santa Cruz I. 14. Vera M. 15. Zurita M.	18. Belluschi F. 12. Bigo J. (G) 17. Escalante I. 14. Lopez F. 16. Pavon A. 19. Reynaga R. 15. Romero F. 20. Villalba G. 13. Zurbriggen S.
Coaches
Perazzo W	Delfino I.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Güemes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Güemes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.08.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Güemes	4:1 ✺
21.08.23	Güemes - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
16.08.23	Deportivo Morón - Güemes	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Güemes - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Güemes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LTTWW
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.08.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
21.08.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Alvarado	1:1 ✺
07.08.23	Deportivo Flandria - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
03.08.23	Banfield - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.04.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Güemes	1:1
05.06.22	Güemes - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0

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