Match Info

Date: 18 July 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)


	Güemes		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.7	3	Watch
	2.7	2.7	2.8
	2.88	2.7	2.63
	2.8	2.5	2.9
	2.98	2.63	3.05
	2.88	2.6	2.7
	2.84	2.66	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.26)	2.64 ↓ (2.79)	2.85 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
32.5%

Draw
35%

Independiente Rivadavia
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

33.3%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

33.9%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Rivadavia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Rivadavia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	66.7%	9.8%

Güemes - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 12 - 23.5%). Independiente R will win (votes: 5 - 9.8%). It will Tie (votes: 34 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 53.8% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 21 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Güemes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Güemes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.07.22	Quilmes - Güemes	0:2 ✺
03.07.22	Güemes - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
27.06.22	Nueva Chicago - Güemes	0:2 ✺
19.06.22	Güemes - Club Almagro	1:2 ✺
12.06.22	Alvarado - Güemes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWLL
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.07.22	Independiente Rivadavia - All Boys	1:1 ✺
03.07.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
26.06.22	Independiente Rivadavia - San Telmo	4:0 ✺
18.06.22	Chaco For Ever - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
13.06.22	Independiente Rivadavia - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.08.21	Güemes - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2
18.04.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Güemes	1:1

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