Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 20

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Carranza A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Güemes		Los Andes

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	4.5	Watch
	1.9	2.87	4.5
				Watch
	2.02	2.77	5.04
				Watch
	1.91	2.88	4.6
	2.02	2.71	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.45)	2.83 ↓ (3)	4.65 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
47.1%

Draw
32.9%

Los Andes
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

30.7%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

30%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Güemes's performance.

Los Andes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Andes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Güemes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Andes than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Andes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Güemes - Los Andes Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Los Andes will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Güemes: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Güemes (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Los Andes (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Güemes (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Los Andes (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acosta M. (G) 4. Chiozza L. 2. Monserrat N. 6. Gonzalez F. (C) 3. Kruger J. 8. Arevalos N. 5. Griffa E. 10. Oyola A. I. 7. Sala S. G. 9. Lesman G. 11. Albertengo M.	1. Rivasseau F. (G) 4. Bellone A. O. 2. Marco F. 6. Riquelme R. D. 3. Fernandez N. 8. Pereira G. 5. Arce C. (C) 10. Diaz E. 7. Gonzalez M. 9. Asenjo M. 11. Canete G.
Substitutes
19. Alvarez M. 14. Bettini M. 17. Federico T. 18. Gerez M. 16. Juarez N. 12. Leguiza M. (G) 13. Lopez F. 20. Palacios P. 15. Papa G.	12. Brey M. (G) 13. Britez M. 14. Carrasco G. D. 17. Gerzel G. 16. Gomez M. 19. Luna E. 18. Rambert T. 15. Rodriguez F.
Coaches
Martel P.	Lemos L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Monserrat N. 🟨,
29', Riquelme R. D. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Arevalos N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Arevalos N. 🟨,
57', Asenjo M. 🟨,
61', Gonzalez M. ↓, Luna E. ↑,
61', Arce C. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
72', Sala S. G. ↓, Gerez M. ↑,
73', Lesman G. ↓, Palacios P. ↑,
73', Fernandez N. ↓, Gerzel G. ↑,
81', Oyola A. I. ↓, Federico T. ↑,
81', Albertengo M. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
82', Canete G. ↓, Carrasco G. D. ↑,
82', Bellone A. O. ↓, Echevarria F. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Monserrat N. (Own goal),
90+5', 2 - 1, Federico T. ⚽,
90+7', Palacios P. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Güemes is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Güemes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.06.25	Patronato Parana - Güemes	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Güemes - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Güemes - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	San Miguel - Güemes	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Güemes - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTTTT
- Los Andes de Lomas de Zamora
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.06.25	Los Andes - Arsenal Sarandí	1:3 ✺
15.06.25	Patronato Parana - Los Andes	0:0 ✺
06.06.25	Los Andes - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Los Andes - All Boys	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Los Andes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.02.25	Los Andes - Güemes	2:0

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