Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 18

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Delbarba J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Patronato Parana		Los Andes

	1	X	2
	2	2.8	4.75	Watch
	1.98	2.9	4
	2.02	2.88	3.95	Watch
	2.04	2.87	4.68
	1.94	3.07	4.1	Watch
	1.95	3	4.2
	2	2.8	4.74	Watch
	2.02	2.88	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.56)	2.9 ↑ (2.6)	4.3 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
46.5%

Draw
32%

Los Andes
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

34.8%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

34.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patronato Parana's performance.

Los Andes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Andes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patronato Parana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Andes than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Andes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Patronato Parana - Los Andes Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Los Andes will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Patronato: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Patronato Parana will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chaves I. (G) 4. Rueda M. 2. Diaz G. 6. Bellatti S. D. N. 3. Escobar I. 8. Barinaga J. 5. Gallucci S. 10. Pereyra V. L. 11. Marcioni J. 7. Castro F. 9. Bonansea A.	1. Rivasseau F. (G) 4. Bellone A. O. 2. Leizza B. 6. Riquelme R. D. 3. Fernandez N. 8. Pereira G. 5. Arce C. (C) 7. Canete G. 10. Gomez M. 9. Asenjo M. 11. Rambert T.
Substitutes
14. Asis G. 20. Barolin J. 13. Diaz F. N. 17. Moreno E. 16. Pacco D. 12. Peralta A. 15. Picco A. R. 18. Sombra A. 19. Villarreal V.	12. Brey M. (G) 14. Carrasco G. D. 20. Diaz E. 17. Gerzel G. 13. Marco F. 19. Martinez F. 15. Rodriguez F. 16. Sives T. 18. Villarreal F.
Coaches
Gomez G.	Lemos L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Pereyra V. L. 🟨,
43', Bellone A. O. 🟨,
45+1', Riquelme R. D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Chaves I. ↓, Peralta R. ↑,
64', Gomez M. ↓, Villarreal F. ↑,
70', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Pacco D. ↑,
73', Canete G. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
73', Rambert T. ↓, Gerzel G. ↑,
86', Bonansea A. 🟨,
88', Castro F. 🟨,
90', Arce C. ↓, Sives T. ↑,
90+1', Barinaga J. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
90+1', Castro F. ↓, Moreno E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).

Patronato is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Los Andes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Patronato is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.06.25	Patronato Parana - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:0 ✺
25.05.25	Club Almagro - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Patronato Parana - San Miguel	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Quilmes - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Patronato Parana - Racing de Córdoba	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWTW
- Los Andes de Lomas de Zamora
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.06.25	Los Andes - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Los Andes - All Boys	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Los Andes	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Club Almagro - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Los Andes - Deportivo Madryn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.02.25	Los Andes - Patronato Parana	1:3
11.08.15	Patronato Parana - Los Andes	2:1
26.03.15	Los Andes - Patronato Parana	2:1

Upcoming Matches