Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Malvinas Argentinas (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	San Miguel		Güemes

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.3	5.75	Watch
	1.68	3.1	5.5
	1.73	3.15	5.4	Watch
	1.7	3.16	6.59
	1.71	3.08	6.37	Watch
	1.75	3	5.5
	1.68	3.1	6.06
	1.73	3.15	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)	3.13 ↓ (3.3)	5.82 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Miguel
54.4%

Draw
29.7%

Güemes
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

28.3%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27.5%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

San Miguel - Güemes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: San Miguel will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sappa D. (G) 8. Antunes I. 4. D. Renteria 2. Parnisari E. 6. Cardozo F. (C) 3. Grance I. 5. Rojas M. 7. Sena F. 11. Ferrero J. 9. Lavezzi A. 10. Dening E.	1. Pezzini N. (G) 4. Gonzalez F. 2. Juarez W. 6. Monserrat N. 3. Lopez F. 7. Federico T. 8. Gerez M. 5. Griffa E. 10. Veliz D. 11. Albertengo M. 9. Palacios P.
Substitutes
14. Juarez J. 12. Lungarzo J. (G) 19. Mosca C. 17. Nasta B. 13. Ortiz L. 16. Parisi L. 18. Salto C. 20. Sosa D. 15. Turraca G.	12. Acosta M. (G) 19. Alvarez M. 14. Arevalos N. 13. Bettini M. 16. Chiozza L. 17. Fissore M. 20. Martinez T. 15. Papa G. 18. Rojas T.
Coaches
Coleoni G.	Martel P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Juarez W. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Albertengo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Antunes I. ↓, Mosca C. ↑,
46', Grance I. ↓, Sosa D. ↑,
50', Rojas M. 🟨,
62', Pezzini N. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Dening E. ⚽,
66', Sena F. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
66', Rojas M. ↓, Parisi L. ↑,
66', Albertengo M. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
66', Federico T. ↓, Papa G. ↑,
69', Griffa E. 🟨,
72', Veliz D. ↓, Arevalos N. ↑,
77', Lavezzi A. ↓, Nasta B. ↑,
84', Gerez M. ↓, Chiozza L. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, San Miguel is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Miguel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, San Miguel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.05.25	Patronato Parana - San Miguel	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	San Miguel - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Club Almagro - San Miguel	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	San Miguel - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	San Miguel - Quilmes	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWT
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.05.25	Güemes - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Racing de Córdoba - Güemes	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Güemes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Colegiales - Güemes	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Güemes - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.09.24	Güemes - San Miguel	2:0
04.05.24	San Miguel - Güemes	1:0

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