Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 12

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Referee: Casha D. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Gżira United		Balzan

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.3
				Watch
				Watch
	2.12	3.24	3.14
	2.17	3.21	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.17)	3.22 ↑ (3.21)	3.21 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gżira United
43.6%

Draw
28.2%

Balzan
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.7%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.8%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gżira United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Gżira United - Balzan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mangano G. (G) 18. Barbosa D. 6. Borg A. 9. Faysal C. 7. Lubanzadio Aldama B. T. 11. Macula 3. Mentz G. (C) 5. Pepe E. 17. Sno S. 93. Thiaguinho 22. Zammit K. II	99. Golovic D. (G) 27. Akpan U. 10. Busuttil J. (C) 14. Dimeji A. 6. Grima M. 11. Hili B. 77. Kamsoba E. 2. Kerkez N. 24. Ndombasi Tukilonga M. 8. Pulis N. 17. Stanic H.
Substitutes
8. Aquilina G. 35. Badawi J. (G) 29. Bartolo J. 47. Borg B. 99. Duzzi Nulli S. (G) 98. Mendoza J. 4. Minala J. 13. Pace M. 14. Riascos L. 23. Schembri S. 92. Tulimieri K.	44. Bacanin M. 23. Blasco V. 21. Cacciatore G. 7. Caruana T. 1. Ciappara D. (G) 19. Farrugia G. 42. Floro R. 22. Grech J. 18. Lapira L. 5. May O. 9. Westendorf I.
Coaches
Tedesco G.	Cohen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Borg A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Borg A. ↓, Minala J. ↑,
46', Thiaguinho ↓, Riascos L. ↑,
58', Kerkez N. 🟨,
62', Mentz G. 🟨,
65', Grima M. 🟨,
65', Hili B. ↓, Blasco V. ↑,
66', Ndombasi Tukilonga M. ↓, Floro R. ↑,
67', Pepe E. 🟨,
70', Floro R. 🟨,
72', Barbosa D. ↓, Borg B. ↑,
80', Macula ↓, Tulimieri K. ↑,
82', Akpan U. ↓, Westendorf I. ↑,
88', Zammit K. II 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gżira won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Gżira will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Gżira won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25:18 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Gżira won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
28.03.25	Gżira United - Balzan	0:0 ✺
13.03.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Gżira United	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Gżira United - Floriana	0:3 ✺
02.03.25	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Gżira United - Marsaxlokk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLWL
- Balzan FC
Maltese Premier League
28.03.25	Gżira United - Balzan	0:0 ✺
13.03.25	Paola Hibernians - Balzan	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Balzan - Sliema Wanderers	2:3 ✺
01.03.25	Balzan - Melita	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Hamrun Spartans - Balzan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
28.03.25	Gżira United - Balzan	0:0
15.12.24	Gżira United - Balzan	2:1
03.10.24	Balzan - Gżira United	2:1
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Gżira United - Balzan	1:1
Maltese Premier League
04.02.24	Gżira United - Balzan	1:1
23.09.23	Balzan - Gżira United	1:0
15.04.23	Balzan - Gżira United	0:2

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