The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hamrun Spartans 54.6%
Draw 25.1%
Balzan 20.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.5%
22.5%
16%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.5%
21.5%
15.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamrun Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hamrun Spartans's form might have worsened.
Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamrun Spartans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Hamrun Spartans - Balzan Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Hamrun will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
1. Marchegiani G. (G) 27. Bjelicic O. 94. Camenzuli R. 91. Emerson (C) 8. Grech J. 13. Polito V. 2. Rafael Compri 29. Trotta M. 10. Villela L. 47. Virano G. 5. Xerri S.
99. Djalo M. (G) 5. Arab S. (C) 23. Cipriott S. 18. Ederson 21. Gabriel Santos 6. Grech J. 44. Ignjatovic N. 2. Leo Fernandes 11. Macula 27. Majok A. 9. Yahaya M.
Substitutes
7. Attard S. 92. Brincau K. (G) 24. Camilleri S. 98. Celio (G) 9. Ceter D. 88. Coric A. 17. Cutajar Y. 6. Guillaumier M. 25. Hili K. 21. Letherby D. 55. Scicluna K.
77. Cassar Z. 19. Celic V. 1. Ciappara D. (G) 80. Djoric N. 42. Grech Z. 7. Kuach Yuel V. 22. Lapira L. 10. Micallef K. 4. Portelli J. 8. Pulis N. 24. Rosiel
Coaches
Amelia M.
Cohen A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Gabriel Santos 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Villela L. ⚽,
43', Ignjatovic N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Djalo M. 🟨,
57', Trotta M. ↓, Ceter D. ↑,
61', Rafael Compri 🟨,
64', Arab S. ↓, Rosiel ↑,
64', Gabriel Santos ↓, Grech Z. ↑,
68', Villela L. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Yahaya M. ⚽,
76', Bjelicic O. ↓, Coric A. ↑,
80', Cipriott S. ↓, Pulis N. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟥,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: ) and 7th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 4.
Hamrun has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Balzan has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Hamrun may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Hamrun for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Hamrun in today's match, at odds of 1.71.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Hamrun has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:21 (averaging 1.6:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hamrun against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:5 goals (averaging 0.9:0.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Hamrun
10
4
4
2
16:12
4
16
9
Balzan
10
2
5
3
12:12
0
11
Last Results with these Odds
Hamrun Spartans - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 61.48%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Marchegiani G. (G) 
Bjelicic O. 
Camenzuli R. 
Emerson (C) 
Virano G. 
Djalo M. (G) 
Majok A. 
Yahaya M. 
Ceter D. 
Coric A. 
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