Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Referee: Petrovic S. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Żabbar St. Patrick		Gżira United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.42	3.31	2.81
	2.15	3.51	3.03	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.4)	3.31 ↑ (3.26)	2.85 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żabbar St. Patrick
39.7%

Draw
27.9%

Gżira United
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.3%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

27.7%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żabbar St. Patrick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Żabbar St. Patrick - Gżira United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Camilleri L. (G) 9. Cejas P. 4. Dumbuya A. 10. Gambarte B. (C) 21. Jovancic S. 22. Leonardi Z. 39. Samuel Gomes 55. Scicluna K. 30. Scicluna R. 32. Silva T. 28. Vinicius Paiva	1. Sargent K. (G) 9. Andre Carlos 96. Bonilha 57. Bonilla J. 13. Failla C. 4. Fonseca P. 98. Kante 7. Martinez S. 3. Mentz G. (C) 14. Riascos L. 22. Van de Bovenkamp M.
Substitutes
11. Agius N. 77. Etim A. 24. Eviparker T. 89. Fontanella M. 91. Grech J. (G) 15. Im Y. W. 33. Mayron 16. Micallef J. 20. Micallef L. 71. Pisani J. 7. Tchaouna H.	5. Abela D. 19. Becerra J. 6. Borg A. 33. Colombo E. (G) 29. Conti M. 23. Dimech A. 11. Dimech J. P. 20. Galea K. (G) 28. Hedley J. 24. Roh S. 30. Xuereb D.
Coaches
Parisi A.	Mizzi C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Leonardi Z. ⚽,
28', Mentz G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martinez S. ↓, Borg A. ↑,
47', Bonilha ↓, Xuereb D. ↑,
52', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Im Y. W. ↑,
53', Kante 🟨,
58', Samuel Gomes ↓, Micallef J. ↑,
58', Dumbuya A. ↓, Tchaouna H. ↑,
60', Van de Bovenkamp M. ↓, Becerra J. ↑,
66', Silva T. 🟨,
70', Scicluna R. ↓, Pisani J. ↑,
71', Silva T. ↓, Fontanella M. ↑,
75', Xuereb D. 🟨,
77', Andre Carlos 🟨,
77', Failla C. 🟨,
78', 2 - 0, Gambarte B. (Pen),
79', Leonardi Z. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 11 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Recently, Gżira has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Żabbar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Żabbar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żabbar St. Patrick FC
Maltese Premier League
24.09.25	Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
16.09.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Hamrun Spartans	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Naxxar Lions	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Paola Hibernians	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLTT
- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
24.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Gżira United	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	0:0 ✺
17.09.25	Marsaxlokk - Gżira United	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Floriana - Gżira United	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Birkirkara - Gżira United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
11.04.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Gżira United	1:2
13.03.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Gżira United	3:0
24.11.24	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1
02.11.24	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	3:1
Maltese FA Trophy
16.02.22	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	4:0

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