Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 23

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Bełchatów)


	GKS Bełchatów		Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.05
	2.82	3.75	2.05
	2.8	4.01	2.05	Watch
	2.83	3.76	2.07	Watch
	2.62	3.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.37)	3.72 ↑ (3.51)	2.03 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Bełchatów
32.2%

Draw
24%

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

25.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Bełchatów's form might have worsened.

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.

GKS Bełchatów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 3.

Tomaszów Mazowiecki might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bełchatów won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	T. Mazowiecki	11	4	1	6	21:23	-2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.03.26	GKS Bełchatów - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Legia II - GKS Bełchatów	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	GKS Bełchatów - Troszyn	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Broń Radom - GKS Bełchatów	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	GKS Bełchatów - Znicz Biała Piska	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLTW
- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.03.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Wasilków - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:3 ✺
28.02.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Znicz Biała Piska	7:1 ✺
29.11.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
21.11.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Legia II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
31.08.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	1:2
25.04.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	1:0
29.09.24	GKS Bełchatów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:2
25.05.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	5:1
04.11.23	GKS Bełchatów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:0
Club Friendly
27.01.21	GKS Bełchatów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1
07.07.18	GKS Bełchatów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1

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