Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 31

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion miejski w Katowicach (Katowice)

Referee: Malec P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	GKS Katowice		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	5	Watch
	1.7	4	4.33
	1.58	4.45	4.55
	1.61	4.71	4.94
	1.59	4.75	4.77	Watch
	1.59	4.39	5.07	Watch
	1.62	3.81	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)	4.35 ↑ (3.81)	4.67 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Katowice
58.3%

Draw
21.6%

Termalica Nieciecza
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

23.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

22.3%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

GKS Katowice - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Katowice: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kudla D. (G) 30. Czerwinski A. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 6. Klemenz L. 97. Jirka E. 22. Milewski S. 77. Kowalczyk M. 23. Wasielewski M. 15. Markovic E. 80. Shkurin I. 27. Nowak B.	1. Chovan A. (G) 29. Isik G. 5. Masoero L. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 27. Boboc R. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 86. Strzalek I. 21. Hilbrycht D. 7. Fassbender M. 9. Jimenez J. 25. Zapolnik K. (C)
Substitutes
11. Blad A. 24. Gruszkowski K. 21. Kokosinski J. 2. Kuusk M. 19. Lukasiak K. 14. Olsen M. 34. Pankowski W. (G) 26. Rasak D. 16. Rogala G. 70. Wdowiak M. 10. Wedrychowski M.	17. Biniek D. 19. Durdov I. 23. Guerrero S. 26. Jakubik W. 8. Kurzawa R. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 77. Putivtsev A. 53. Trubeha A. 6. Wolski M.
Coaches
Gorak R.	Brosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Kasperkiewicz A. (Own goal),
22', 2 - 0, Shkurin I. ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Markovic E. ⚽, Shkurin I. (A),
31', Isik G. 🟨,
42', 3 - 1, Zapolnik K. ⚽, Strzalek I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Masoero L. ↓, Putivtsev A. ↑,
58', Strzalek I. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
58', Fassbender M. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
58', 4 - 1, Kowalczyk M. ⚽, Markovic E. (A),
66', Kowalczyk M. ↓, Rasak D. ↑,
66', Jirka E. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
67', Jimenez J. ↓, Durdov I. ↑,
76', Markovic E. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
76', Shkurin I. ↓, Kokosinski J. ↑,
81', Milewski S. ↓, Blad A. ↑,
84', Ambrosiewicz M. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
90', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

GKS Katowice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, GKS Katowice is a strong favorite.

There will not play in GKS Katowice: Bosch J. (Pelvis Injury) Kowalczyk M. (Injury) Rejczyk F. (Injury)

There will not play in Termalica: Kopacz B. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

GKS Katowice: 2.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	GKS Katowice	9	5	0	4	20:14	6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.04.26	Korona Kielce - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	GKS Katowice - Motor Lublin	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Lech Poznań - GKS Katowice	3:3 ✺
Polish Cup
09.04.26	Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice	5:4 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.04.26	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTLW
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.04.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Widzew Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Piast Gliwice	3:2 ✺
22.03.26	Lech Poznań - Termalica Nieciecza	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
31.10.25	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	0:3
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	1:2
Polish Division 1
21.04.24	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	2:2
08.10.23	GKS Katowice - Termalica Nieciecza	0:0
12.02.23	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	1:1
24.07.22	GKS Katowice - Termalica Nieciecza	3:3
Polish Cup
27.10.21	GKS Katowice - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ET

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