Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 29

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gdyni (Gdynia)

Referee: Myc W. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 7
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Spain	Gol Play
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Arka Gdynia		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.35	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.46	2.24
	3.22	3.51	2.21	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.2	3.36	2.16	Watch
	3.05	3.09	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3.05)	3.32 ↑ (3.09)	2.16 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arka Gdynia
29.4%

Draw
27.9%

Jagiellonia Białystok
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

28.6%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

27.7%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	23.1%	23.1%

Arka Gdynia - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arka: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grobelny J. (G) 4. Zator D. 23. Hermoso K. 29. Marcjanik M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 35. Jakubczyk K. 10. Nguiamba A. 11. Kocyla D. 37. Kerk S. 7. Kubiak O. 19. Gutkovskis V.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 13. Vital B. 4. Kobayashi Y. 23. Montoia G. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 86. Mazurek B. 7. Pozo A. 11. Imaz J. 77. Szmyt K. 10. Pululu A.
Substitutes
33. Abramowicz D. 99. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 2. Navarro M. 6. Perea L. 31. Rusyn N. 22. Rzuchowski M. 3. Szota S. 21. Szysz P. 25. Vlad A. (G)	14. Bazdar S. 66. Damasiewicz A. (G) 8. Drachal D. 44. Konstantopoulos A. 85. Kozlowski E. 21. Lozano S. 19. Nahuel M. 70. Pelmard A. 9. Rallis D. 3. Stojinovic D. 27. Wdowik B. 80. Zalewski Z.
Coaches
Banasik D.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', Gojny D. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽, Pululu A. (A),
24', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
34', Kobayashi Y. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Imaz J. ⚽, Pululu A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Kocyla D. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
71', Imaz J. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
71', Pululu A. ↓, Nahuel M. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Bazdar S. ⚽, Pozo A. (A),
76', Pozo A. 🟨,
78', Nguiamba A. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
78', Zator D. ↓, Navarro M. ↑,
78', Kerk S. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
79', Pozo A. ↓, Zalewski Z. ↑,
80', Zalewski Z. 🟨,
84', Perea L. 🟨,
86', Kubiak O. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
87', Szmyt K. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
87', Mazurek B. ↓, Kozlowski E. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Jagiellonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of home games.

Jagiellonia could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Arka: Weglarz D. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Flach L. (Knee Injury) Jozwiak K. (Groin Injury) Konstantopoulos A. (Health problems) Rallis D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Stojinovic D. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:27. (average 1:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Jagiellonia: 3.94%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Jagiellonia	9	4	0	5	13:16	-3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.04.26	Cracovia - Arka Gdynia	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Lubin	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Korona Kielce - Arka Gdynia	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Arka Gdynia - Widzew Łódź	0:0 ✺
09.03.26	Wisła Płock - Arka Gdynia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TWLTW
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.04.26	Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Lech Poznań	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - GKS Katowice	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
18.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia	4:0
24.11.19	Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia	2:0
19.07.19	Arka Gdynia - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:3
Polish Cup
04.12.18	Arka Gdynia - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.11.18	Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia	3:1
29.07.18	Arka Gdynia - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2
17.03.18	Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia	3:2

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