Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 4
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Wisła Płock		GKS Katowice

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.4	Watch
	1.98	3.55	3.4
	2.02	3.7	3.66
	2.51	2.62	3.52	Watch
	2.03	3.55	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.02)	3.4 ↓ (3.65)	3.49 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
45.1%

Draw
27.8%

GKS Katowice
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	4.8%	4.8%

Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Wisła Płock will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wisła Płock will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 35. Kaminski M. 19. Edmundsson A. 21. Rogelj Z. 8. Pacheco D. 14. Kun D. 30. Nowak W. 2. Custovic K. 66. Salvador I. 99. Juric D.	12. Straczek R. (G) 6. Klemenz L. 4. Jedrych A. 2. Kuusk M. 8. Galan B. 77. Kowalczyk M. 19. Lukasiak K. 23. Wasielewski M. 27. Nowak B. 80. Shkurin I. 15. Markovic E.
Substitutes
17. Djalo M. 16. Hiszpanski F. 3. Kalandadze A. 25. Mijuskovic N. 5. Nastic B. 1. Pruszkowski S. (G) 20. Sekulski L. 84. Tavares T. 37. Tomczyk O. 42. Zajac F.	11. Blad A. 5. Bosch J. 30. Czerwinski A. 14. Lukowski J. 22. Milewski S. 20. Rejczyk F. 16. Rogala G. 33. Szczuka P. (G) 10. Wedrychowski M. 99. Zrelak A.
Coaches
Misiura M.	Gorak R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Rogelj Z. ⚽, Nowak W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Wasielewski M. ⚽,
58', Klemenz L. 🟨,
63', Markovic E. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
63', Shkurin I. ↓, Zrelak A. ↑,
72', Salvador I. ↓, Djalo M. ↑,
80', Pacheco D. 🟨,
85', Juric D. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
85', Pacheco D. ↓, Nastic B. ↑,
86', Nowak B. ↓, Blad A. ↑,
90+1', Custovic K. ↓, Tavares T. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Wisła Płock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wisła Płock will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M. (Knee Injury) Sekulski L. (Injury)

There will not play in GKS Katowice: Paluszek A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wisła Płock: Jimenez J. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Wisła Płock - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.83%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Cup
23.09.25	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	4:2 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.09.25	Wisła Płock - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:1 ✺
29.08.25	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Wisła Płock - Zagłębie Lubin	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLWW
- GKS Katowice
Polish Cup
23.09.25	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	4:2 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.09.25	GKS Katowice - Cracovia	0:3 ✺
12.09.25	Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Katowice	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	GKS Katowice - Radomiak Radom	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Górnik Zabrze - GKS Katowice	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
23.09.25	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	4:2 ET
Polish Division 1
24.02.24	Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice	2:1
11.08.23	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	4:1
05.06.16	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	2:1
13.11.15	Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice	2:0
28.03.15	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	0:1
30.08.14	Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice	0:2

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