Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 33

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion GKS Katowice (Katowice)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)


	GKS Katowice		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.63
	2.25	3.4	2.7
	2.35	3.6	2.7
	2.37	3.55	2.91
	2.37	3.52	2.91
	2.25	3.5	2.62
	2.3	3.49	2.79
	2.25	3.4	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.62)	3.5 ↑ (3.38)	2.74 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Katowice
40%

Draw
26.3%

Wisła Kraków
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

27.7%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28.2%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Wisła Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

GKS Katowice - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Wisła will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kudla D. (G) 2. Kuusk M. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 14. Komor A. 23. Wasielewski M. 5. Repka O. 6. Kozubal A. 16. Rogala G. 11. Blad A. 10. Mak M. 7. Bergier S.	31. Chichkan A. (G) 19. Satrustegui E. 26. Lasicki I. 6. Uryga A. (C) 43. Szot D. 41. Duda K. 8. Carbo M. 10. Villar Miki 17. Alfaro J. 77. Baena Perez A. 9. Rodado A.
Substitutes
8. Aleman C. 18. Arak J. 21. Baranowicz B. 3. Janiszewski G. 13. Jaroszek B. 17. Marzec M. 12. Peksa P. (G) 19. Pietrzyk K. 31. Shibata S.	66. Basha V. 11. Bregu D. 22. Goku Roman 52. Krzyzanowski J. 50. Kutwa M. 93. Raton A. (G) 7. Sapala I. 23. Sobczak S. 14. Zyro M.
Coaches
Gorak R.	Rude A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Satrustegui E. 🟥,
12', Villar Miki ↓, Kutwa M. ↑,
19', 0 - 1, Rodado A. ⚽, Duda K. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Jedrych A. ⚽, Kozubal A. (A),
30', Lasicki I. ↓, Sapala I. ↑,
32', Duda K. 🟨,
33', 2 - 1, Blad A. ⚽, Rogala G. (A),
45+2', Carbo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 3 - 1, Rogala G. ⚽, Blad A. (A),
61', Mak M. ↓, Marzec M. ↑,
63', 4 - 1, Carbo M. (Own goal),
64', Alfaro J. 🟨,
68', Bergier S. ↓, Shibata S. ↑,
68', Blad A. ↓, Arak J. ↑,
73', Alfaro J. ↓, Bregu D. ↑,
73', Carbo M. ↓, Goku Roman ↑,
82', 4 - 2, Rodado A. ⚽,
83', Kuusk M. ↓, Jaroszek B. ↑,
83', Repka O. ↓, Baranowicz B. ↑,
89', Uryga A. 🟨,
90+4', 5 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

GKS Katowice is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Wisła is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

GKS Katowice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches GKS Katowice won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams GKS Katowice won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Katowice
Polish Division 1
10.05.24	GKS Tychy - GKS Katowice	2:3 ✺
04.05.24	GKS Katowice - Stal Rzeszów	8:0 ✺
28.04.24	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Katowice	1:2 ✺
25.04.24	GKS Katowice - Górnik Łęczna	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWTT
- Wisła Kraków
Polish Division 1
11.05.24	Wisła Kraków - Lechia Gdańsk	3:4 ✺
06.05.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
02.05.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Kraków	1:2 ET ✺
Polish Division 1
26.04.24	Wisła Kraków - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:1 ✺
23.04.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
25.11.23	Wisła Kraków - GKS Katowice	3:2
04.03.23	GKS Katowice - Wisła Kraków	1:3
09.08.22	Wisła Kraków - GKS Katowice	2:1

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