Match Info

Division 2 - Round 11

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	GKS Tychy		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.30	3.20
	1.91	3.25	3.40
	2.06	3.35	3.47
	1.93	3.59	3.65	Watch
	2.01	3.25	3.40
	2.03	3.64	3.33	Watch
	2.03	3.30	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)	3.38 ↑ (3.33)	3.36 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Tychy
45.8%

Draw
27%

Górnik Łęczna
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26.6%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.2%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.17) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Myszkowski K. (G) 8. Begala M. 75. Chorosinski J. 5. Horvat M. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 10. Kadzior D. 26. Lasicki I. 9. Lewandowski M. 16. Olkowski P. 18. Plichta K. 19. Trabka M.	1. Matysek A. (G) 10. Deja A. 3. Holownia M. 17. Janaszek F. 4. Jaroszynski P. (C) 5. Kobryn R. 7. Korbecki B. 38. Myszor J. 19. Quainoo S. 27. Rogala G. 16. Walski M.
Substitutes
44. Baier N. 77. Eskinja J. 21. Jankowski B. 11. Koniuszy M. 7. Niemann N. 13. Proczek T. (G) 99. Rygula T. 14. Tumala L. 6. Wojtczak O.	30. Akhmedov B. 29. Antkowiak H. 74. Kruk K. 28. Niewiarowski W. 88. Osipiuk O. 40. Stadnicki E. 11. Tkacz D. 23. Turek K. 99. Wilk K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Hoyo-Kowalski D. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Plichta K. ⚽, Lasicki I. (A),
41', Chorosinski J. 🟨,
42', Janaszek F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Kadzior D. ⚽,
56', Jaroszynski P. 🟨,
60', Hoyo-Kowalski D. ↓, Eskinja J. ↑,
62', Myszor J. ↓, Akhmedov B. ↑,
63', Janaszek F. ↓, Antkowiak H. ↑,
64', Plichta K. ↓, Niemann N. ↑,
65', Korbecki B. ↓, Niewiarowski W. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Lasicki I. ⚽, Kadzior D. (A),
72', Kadzior D. ↓, Baier N. ↑,
72', Lewandowski M. ↓, Rygula T. ↑,
80', Quainoo S. ↓, Stadnicki E. ↑,
80', Deja A. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion - Division 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Tychy won 1.

GKS Tychy is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Górnik Łęczna is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

GKS Tychy could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

GKS Tychy is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, GKS Tychy has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:22 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for GKS Tychy against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:8 goals (averaging 1.7:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tychy	11	6	5	0	17:6	11	23
3	Leczna	11	6	2	3	21:13	8	20

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Tychy - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 43.82%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Górnik Łęczna - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 29.6%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 2
03.10.26	Hutnik - GKS Tychy	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	GKS Tychy - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Znicz Pruszków - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
06.09.26	GKS Tychy - Avia Świdnik	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
03.09.26	GKS Tychy - ŁKS Łódź	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTWW
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 2
04.10.26	Górnik Łęczna - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:1 ✺
18.09.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Górnik Łęczna	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Górnik Łęczna - Legia II	4:1 ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
05.09.26	Sokół Kleczew - Górnik Łęczna	0:4 ✺
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Mielec	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
20.02.26	Górnik Łęczna - GKS Tychy	1:0
17.08.25	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	2:2
25.05.25	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	3:1
23.11.24	Górnik Łęczna - GKS Tychy	2:2
26.05.24	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	0:1
20.02.24	Górnik Łęczna - GKS Tychy	2:0
29.04.23	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	2:1

GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide