The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
GVCD San José 55.1%
Draw 24.5%
Independiente Petroleros 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
25.3%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
24.3%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GVCD San José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GVCD San José's performance.
Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Petroleros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GVCD San José that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Petroleros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
GVCD San José - Independiente Petroleros Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. GVCD San José will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. GVCD San José (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Arauz G. (G) 33. Landa A. 26. Lencinas J. 36. Justiniano G. 2. Ramallo J. 29. Galindo S. 38. Vargas L. 17. Quispe E. 11. Matheus Moresche 7. Caceres A. (C) 55. Goyeneche J.
12. Vera J. (G) 2. Torres S. 50. Roni Santos 3. Crescencio L. 4. Rodriguez L. 16. Chavez Suarez S. 14. Urdininea C. 19. Cristaldo G. (C) 93. Willie 20. Mercado A. 9. Gean
Substitutes
20. Aguilar F. 14. Calero D. 10. Ferrufino R. 9. Monteiro R. 8. Orihuela R. 25. Rivas R. (G) 39. Teran Z. 16. Tumiri E. 4. Vaca G. 19. Villarroel S. 30. Zeballos L.
91. Alvarez G. 7. Cardozo R. 39. Grass P. 99. Jeferson Carioca 34. Mendoza G. 68. Morales D. 40. Morales L. (G) 5. Palma L. 26. Sanchez K.
Coaches
Costa A.
Grass J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Urdininea C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 1 - 0, Goyeneche J. ⚽,
62', 1 - 1, Cristaldo G. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Willie ↓, Jeferson Carioca ↑,
64', Mercado A. ↓, Cardozo R. ↑,
67', Quispe E. ↓, Villarroel S. ↑,
67', Galindo S. ↓, Vaca G. ↑,
69', Rodriguez L. ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
69', Matheus Moresche ↓, Monteiro R. ↑,
69', Goyeneche J. ↓, Ferrufino R. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Torres S. ⚽, Cardozo R. (A),
80', Chavez Suarez S. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
80', Gean ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
80', Landa A. ↓, Calero D. ↑,
89', Calero D. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 3, Alvarez G. ⚽, Sanchez K. (A),
Preview
GVCD San José is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Ind Petroleros has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
GVCD San José could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, GVCD San José has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with GVCD San José holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, GVCD San José has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:4 (averaging 1.4:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for GVCD San José against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:3 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).