Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB BEKER - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday


	GVVV		Telstar

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.75	2.25
	2.7	3.5	2.15
	2.85	3.75	2.15	Watch
	2.74	3.79	2.15
	2.75	3.7	2.15
	2.85	3.86	2.21
	2.85	3.7	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (4)	3.72 ↑ (3.7)	2.17 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GVVV
32.9%

Draw
24.8%

Telstar
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

24.5%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

24.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GVVV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GVVV's performance.

Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Telstar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVVV than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GVVV that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Telstar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

GVVV - Telstar Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. GVVV will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Telstar will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GVVV: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Willige J. (G) 5. Adnane T. 17. Burgering B. 25. de Jong M. 15. de Leeuw D. 22. Dumay Q. 41. George L. 8. Maguire B. 11. Sille G. 21. Spies J. 3. Willems M.	20. Houweling J. (G) 3. Apau M. 17. Eddahchouri Z. 39. Gravenberch D. 15. Koswal D. 12. Overtoom T. 24. Plat A. 7. Seedorf C. 18. Soares J. 8. Turfkruier J. 26. van de Loo T.
Substitutes
43. Berrio J. 7. Chiazor D. 2. Dilrosun T. 24. Homoet D. 20. Potjes J. 16. van Kouwen R. (G) 10. Veenhof Q.	6. Augustijns S. 21. Bouyaghlafen A. 1. Hamdani A. (G) 14. Oughcha A. 5. Polley R. 23. Rocha de Almeida L. 27. Tahiri M. 19. van den Heerik Q. 28. van Ingen L. I. (G) 25. Zakaria F.

Preview

GVVV is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Telstar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Telstar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GVVV
Dutch Tweede Divisie
28.10.23	GVVV - HHC Hardenberg	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	ACV - GVVV	3:0 ✺
07.10.23	GVVV - Excelsior Maassluis	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Katwijk - GVVV	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	GVVV - Amsterdamsche FC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLWWW
- SC Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.10.23	Telstar - FC Oss	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	NAC Breda - Telstar	3:1 ✺
14.10.23	Telstar - MVV Maastricht	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	Emmen - Telstar	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Telstar - Jong Ajax	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLW

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