Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 5

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: 711 Stadium (Velsen-Zuid)

Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1


	Telstar		MVV Maastricht

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.1
	1.68	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.68	4.18	4.87
	1.68	4.03	4.51	Watch
	1.62	4	4.33
	1.66	4.25	4.4	Watch
	1.68	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)	4.1 ↑ (3.92)	4.5 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telstar
56.3%

Draw
22.9%

MVV Maastricht
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

24%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Telstar - MVV Maastricht Predictions

Users Predictions: Telstar will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koeman R. (G) 21. Koswal D. 3. Apau M. (C) 6. Bakker D. 17. Rossen N. 11. Noslin T. 8. Turfkruier J. 4. Offerhaus G. 14. Kaandorp M. 9. El Kachati Y. 10. Eddahchouri Z.	12. Matthys R. (G) 32. Zeegers T. 3. Aktas O. (C) 4. Coomans W. 34. Schenk L. 5. Smeets B. 31. Kleinen M. 10. Slegers F. 6. El Basri N. 11. Buifrahi R. 9. Braken S.
Substitutes
25. Benzzine A. 28. Bodak T. (G) 7. Hamdaoui M. 2. Hardeveld J. 23. Hetli S. 20. Houweling J. (G) 27. Kharchouch R. 15. Lechkar A. 18. van Ekeris R.	7. Camil Mmaee 21. Esajas R. 27. Foubert L. 20. Francis S. 26. Hofland M. 1. Lambrix T. (G) 16. Librici A. 23. Op De Beeck J. (G) 14. Penders S. 29. Silva Timas I.
Coaches
Correia A.	Hermans E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Turfkruier J. ⚽, Noslin T. (A),
41', Offerhaus G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', Smeets B. 🟨,
49', Noslin T. 🟨,
55', Schenk L. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Kaandorp M. ⚽,
59', Buifrahi R. ↓, Esajas R. ↑,
60', El Basri N. ↓, Silva Timas I. ↑,
65', 3 - 0, Turfkruier J. ⚽, El Kachati Y. (A),
68', El Kachati Y. 🟨,
68', El Kachati Y. ↓, Hamdaoui M. ↑,
68', Kaandorp M. ↓, Kharchouch R. ↑,
68', Koswal D. ↓, Hardeveld J. ↑,
71', Smeets B. ↓, Penders S. ↑,
71', Schenk L. ↓, Librici A. ↑,
73', 4 - 0, Eddahchouri Z. ⚽, Hamdaoui M. (A),
78', Braken S. ↓, Camil Mmaee ↑,
78', Noslin T. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
88', Offerhaus G. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
90+3', Kharchouch R. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Telstar won 3.

Telstar is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Maastricht is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Telstar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Telstar is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Telstar won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 24-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Telstar won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.08.24	Telstar - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:0 ✺
26.08.24	Jong PSV - Telstar	0:2 ✺
16.08.24	Telstar - FC Eindhoven	0:3 ✺
09.08.24	Vitesse - Telstar	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Telstar - Umm-Salal	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWLWW
- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.08.24	MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV	3:2 ✺
23.08.24	Den Bosch - MVV Maastricht	1:1 ✺
19.08.24	Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht	0:0 ✺
09.08.24	MVV Maastricht - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - MVV Maastricht	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.02.24	MVV Maastricht - Telstar	6:1
14.10.23	Telstar - MVV Maastricht	2:1
12.05.23	MVV Maastricht - Telstar	2:1
24.01.23	Telstar - MVV Maastricht	5:3
14.01.22	Telstar - MVV Maastricht	2:1
05.09.21	MVV Maastricht - Telstar	3:0
26.02.21	MVV Maastricht - Telstar	2:0

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