Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)

Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra


	NAC Breda		Telstar

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.8	4.1
	1.82	3.95	3.95
	1.88	3.92	4
	1.8	3.94	4.1	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.9
	1.83	3.82	4.29	Watch
	1.76	3.8	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.87)	3.84 ↑ (3.72)	4.11 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NAC Breda
52.3%

Draw
24.6%

Telstar
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	31.6%	5.3%

NAC Breda - Telstar Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Telstar will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): NAC Breda will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Bielica D. (G) 25. Valerius C. 3. Odoi D. 22. Hillen R. 4. Kemper B. (C) 16. Balard M. 8. Leemans C. 14. Sowah K. 32. Talvitie J. 90. Holtby L. 11. Paula R.	1. Koeman R. (G) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 4. Offerhaus G. 6. Bakker D. (C) 11. Noslin T. 17. Rossen N. 8. Owusu T. 2. Hardeveld J. 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 27. Brouwer P. 9. Zonneveld M.
Substitutes
7. Brym C. 55. Ghalidi B. 1. Kortsmit R. (G) 31. Lamprou K. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 15. Mahmutovic E. 10. Nassoh M. 26. Reulen P. 9. Soumano M. 6. Staring C. 17. van Hooijdonk S. 18. van Reeuwijk D.	13. Bodak T. (G) 19. Hagedoorn S. 10. Hamdaoui M. 21. Koswal D. 15. Lechkar A. 29. Malone D. 16. Mertens D. 5. Nwankwo N. 28. Oudsten R. 20. Reiziger D. (G) 30. Tejan K.
Coaches
Hoefkens C.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leemans C. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
46', Paula R. ↓, Ghalidi B. ↑,
46', Odoi D. ↓, Mahmutovic E. ↑,
50', Noslin T. 🟨,
63', Noslin T. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
65', Owusu T. 🟨,
74', Holtby L. ↓, Soumano M. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Brouwer P. ⚽, Lechkar A. (A),
79', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
79', Brouwer P. ↓, Hamdaoui M. ↑,
79', Zonneveld M. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
79', Talvitie J. ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
87', Mahmutovic E. 🟨,
90+2', Tejan K. 🟨,
90+4', van Hooijdonk S. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 2.

Breda is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Telstar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Telstar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Breda is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Breda: Greiml L. (Injury) Jensen F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Breda: Candelaria J. (Injury) Kongolo T. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Telstar: Koswal D. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Breda won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.25	NAC Breda - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Excelsior - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Volendam - NAC Breda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL
- SC Telstar
Dutch KNVB Beker
16.12.25	HSV Hoek - Telstar	1:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.12.25	Telstar - NEC Nijmegen	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Heracles Almelo - Telstar	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Telstar - Feyenoord	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Telstar - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.02.24	Telstar - NAC Breda	1:1
20.10.23	NAC Breda - Telstar	3:1
19.05.23	Telstar - NAC Breda	2:1
04.11.22	NAC Breda - Telstar	1:1
14.03.22	Telstar - NAC Breda	1:4
13.08.21	NAC Breda - Telstar	2:2
16.02.21	Telstar - NAC Breda	1:2

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