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Current Win Probability
Telstar 55.2%
Draw 23.5%
Jong Ajax 21.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.3%
23.5%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.3%
24.8%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.3%
28.6%
7.1%
Telstar - Jong Ajax Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Telstar: 39.2% โ 89.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. (C) 6. Bakker D. 2. Hardeveld J. 25. Owusu T. 17. Rossen N. 4. Offerhaus G. 11. Noslin T. 23. Hetli S. 7. Hamdaoui M. 10. Eddahchouri Z.
1. Reverson P. (G) 2. Alders G. 3. Verschuren N. 4. Janse D. 5. Jetten L. 8. Mokio J. 6. Steur S. 7. Chourak N. 10. Hlynsson K. 11. Bounida R. 9. Rijkhoff J.
Substitutes
24. Benzzine A. 9. El Kachati Y. 19. Hagedoorn S. 20. Houweling J. (G) 14. Kaandorp M. 27. Kharchouch R. 28. Mulder F. 12. Overtoom T. 8. Turfkruier J. 18. van Ekeris R. 26. van Schooneveld J.
21. Boerhout Y. . Chahid R. . Faberski J. 20. Kalokoh D. . Konadu D. 12. Setford C. (G) 18. Speksnijder R. 15. Ugwu P. 17. Verkuijl M.
Coaches
Correia A.
Peereboom F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Eddahchouri Z. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
40', 2 - 0, Eddahchouri Z. ⚽, Hamdaoui M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Janse D. ↓, Ugwu P. ↑,
46', Bounida R. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Noslin T. ⚽,
51', Offerhaus G. 🟨,
53', Noslin T. 🟨,
62', Hamdaoui M. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
62', Noslin T. ↓, Turfkruier J. ↑,
64', Hlynsson K. ↓, Verkuijl M. ↑,
64', Mokio J. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
76', Hetli S. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
76', Owusu T. ↓, Hagedoorn S. ↑,
83', Eddahchouri Z. ↓, Kharchouch R. ↑,
83', Jetten L. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Telstar won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Jong Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Telstar is a favorite.
There will not play in Jong Ajax: Tahirovic B.
(Concussion)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Knock)
There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Gooijer T.
(Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Telstar won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 28:44 (average 1.4:2.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Telstar won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:20 (average 1.9:2.2).
Netherlands
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Koeman R. (G) 
Noslin T. 
Mokio J. 
Hlynsson K. 
El Kachati Y. 
Turfkruier J. 
Faberski J. 
Setford C. (G) 
