Match Info

J3 League - Round 19

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Axis Bird Stadium (Tottori)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gainare Tottori		Kamatamare Sanuki

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.7
	2.32	3.2	2.72	Watch
	2.54	3.2	2.82
				Watch
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.39	3.13	2.69	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.07)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	2.91 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainare Tottori
39.2%

Draw
29.4%

Kamatamare Sanuki
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

28.4%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainare Tottori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Kamatamare Sanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kamatamare Sanuki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gainare Tottori, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kamatamare Sanuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Gainare Tottori - Kamatamare Sanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gainare Tottori will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Kamatamare will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Koma R. (G) 55. Oshima H. 4. Nikaido S. 6. Nukui H. 16. Maruyama S. 11. Tojo A. 34. Soga D. 21. Kawamura T. 19. Miki N. 7. Ozawa H. 10. Togashi Y.	1. Imamura Y. (G) 6. Hasegawa H. 99. Tsukegi Y. 35. Sago S. 33. Kawakami S. 96. Yoshida J. 15. Iwamoto K. 2. Uchida M. 90. Goto Y. 17. Makiyama K. 10. Kawanishi S.
Substitutes
14. Fukoin M. 18. Handa K. 32. Ikawa T. 42. Kaneura M. 17. Matsumoto T. 3. Nagano S. 39. Sakuraba R. (G) 9. Tanada R. 8. Tanaka K.	11. Eduardo 55. Fujii Y. 41. Iida M. (G) 14. Ishikura J. 23. Iwagishi S. 13. Maekawa T. 8. Mori Y. 22. Ono Y. 24. Ueno A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kawamura T. ↓, Fukoin M. ↑,
63', Togashi Y. ↓, Handa K. ↑,
65', Goto Y. ↓, Mori Y. ↑,
65', Makiyama K. ↓, Maekawa T. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Miki N. ⚽,
74', Kawanishi S. ↓, Ueno A. ↑,
75', Yoshida J. ↓, Iwagishi S. ↑,
79', Nikaido S. 🟨,
80', Maruyama S. ↓, Nagano S. ↑,
87', Miki N. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
87', Ozawa H. ↓, Kaneura M. ↑,
90+1', Iwamoto K. ↓, Ono Y. ↑,
90+2', Hasegawa H. 🟨,
90+7', Uchida M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone J3 League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 3.

Gainare Tottori is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kamatamare is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Gainare Tottori will win today's game, with odds of 2.3.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gainare Tottori won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainare Tottori
Japan J3 League
28.06.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Gainare Tottori	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Gainare Tottori - Tochigi	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Nara Club - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Gainare Tottori - Nagano Parceiro	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Gainare Tottori - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 WWLWW
- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J3 League
28.06.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Nagano Parceiro	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:3 ✺
07.06.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Osaka	0:3 ✺
31.05.25	Tochigi - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
06.10.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Gainare Tottori	0:1
20.03.24	Gainare Tottori - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1
15.10.23	Kamatamare Sanuki - Gainare Tottori	1:2
26.03.23	Gainare Tottori - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:2
20.11.22	Gainare Tottori - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:0
20.03.22	Kamatamare Sanuki - Gainare Tottori	4:1
28.11.21	Kamatamare Sanuki - Gainare Tottori	1:3

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