Match Info

J3 League - Round 31

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Axis Bird Stadium (Tottori)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gainare Tottori		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	3.15	2.92	Watch
	2.42	3.25	2.95
	2.40	2.77	3.37	Watch
	2.26	3.13	2.99	Watch
	2.29	3.18	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.26)	3.1 ↓ (3.21)	3.02 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainare Tottori
39.7%

Draw
29.8%

Sagamihara
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainare Tottori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Gainare Tottori - Sagamihara Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Koma R. (G) 77. Hashimoto S. 55. Oshima H. 6. Nukui H. 16. Maruyama S. 11. Tojo A. 3. Nagano S. 21. Kawamura T. 19. Miki N. 14. Fukoin M. 10. Togashi Y.	1. Miura M. (G) 2. Kato D. 28. Ogasawara K. 20. Yamauchi R. 4. Shimakawa T. 26. Nishikubo S. 10. Nakayama R. 24. Sugimoto R. 16. Takano R. 15. Maeda T. 23. Kato T.
Substitutes
18. Handa K. 42. Kaneura M. 17. Matsumoto T. 7. Ozawa H. 39. Sakuraba R. (G) 13. Shimizu Y. 34. Soga D. 9. Tanada R. 8. Tanaka K.	22. Fukui K. 31. Inose K. (G) 7. Kawano R. 18. Miki K. 11. Muto Y. 27. Nishiyama T. 9. Rafael Furtado 6. Tokunaga Y. 54. Watahiki K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Sugimoto R. ⚽, Nakayama R. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Tojo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Miki N. ↓, Soga D. ↑,
46', Kato T. ↓, Rafael Furtado ↑,
62', Maeda T. 🟨,
62', Maeda T. ↓, Fukui K. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Togashi Y. ⚽, Tojo A. (A),
69', Takano R. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
72', Tojo A. ↓, Ozawa H. ↑,
72', Hashimoto S. ↓, Shimizu Y. ↑,
81', Sugimoto R. ↓, Kawano R. ↑,
81', Nishikubo S. ↓, Miki K. ↑,
84', Fukoin M. ↓, Kaneura M. ↑,
90+1', Maruyama S. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Gainare Tottori may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gainare Tottori won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Gainare Tottori - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 39.97%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Sagamihara - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 31.92%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainare Tottori
Japan J3 League
05.10.25	Gainare Tottori - Osaka	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Tochigi City - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Gainare Tottori - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Nagano Parceiro - Gainare Tottori	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Gainare Tottori - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWTL
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
04.10.25	Sagamihara - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Sagamihara	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Sagamihara - Gifu	0:5 ✺
06.09.25	Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
06.05.25	Sagamihara - Gainare Tottori	1:0
24.11.24	Sagamihara - Gainare Tottori	1:0
19.05.24	Gainare Tottori - Sagamihara	0:3
08.10.23	Gainare Tottori - Sagamihara	0:0
04.03.23	Sagamihara - Gainare Tottori	2:3
03.09.22	Sagamihara - Gainare Tottori	2:2
25.06.22	Gainare Tottori - Sagamihara	2:2

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