The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gainsborough Trinity 41.4%
Draw 26.9%
Curzon Ashton 31.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.3%
27.4%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
24.9%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Curzon Ashton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gainsborough Trinity, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Curzon Ashton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gainsborough Trinity - Curzon Ashton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Holmes B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 0 - 2, Sobowale O. ⚽,
70', 0 - 3, Whitehead D. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - NPL Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 2.
Gainsborough is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Performances by Curzon Ashton have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Gainsborough holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Gainsborough has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:9 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gainsborough against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.3:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Gainsborough
15
9
1
5
31:20
11
28
6
Curzon Ashton
14
8
1
5
27:17
10
25
Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now
Gainsborough: 5.04% Curzon Ashton: 4.45%
Last Results with these Odds
Gainsborough Trinity - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 44.3%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Curzon Ashton - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.29%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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