Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 14

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Warrington Rylands		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.25	2.60
	2.3	3.35	2.55
	2.37	3.66	2.53
	2.35	3.73	2.66	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.5
	2.31	3.45	2.5
	2.34	3.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.23)	3.5 ↑ (3.2)	2.56 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Rylands
38.9%

Draw
25.8%

Curzon Ashton
35.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.8%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Rylands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Curzon Ashton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Warrington Rylands - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Hardcastle B. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Waring G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', 3 - 0, Hardcastle B. ⚽,
70', 4 - 0, Costello C. ⚽,
90', 5 - 0, Holder S. ⚽,
90+4', 5 - 1, Curran A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 7th in the Promotion - NPL Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 5th in the Promotion - NPL Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Warrington Rylands has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Curzon Ashton shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Curzon Ashton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Curzon Ashton has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Warrington Rylands	14	7	2	5	25:21	4	23
9	Curzon Ashton	13	7	1	5	24:17	7	22

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Curzon Ashton: 4.53% Warrington Rylands: 2.95%

Last Results with these Odds

Warrington Rylands - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 39.4%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Curzon Ashton - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.15%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Rylands
English NPL Premier Division
10.10.26	Cleethorpes Town - Warrington Rylands	3:0 ✺
06.10.26	Leek Town - Warrington Rylands	3:3 ✺
03.10.26	Warrington Rylands - Emley	4:1 ✺
29.09.26	Ilkeston - Warrington Rylands	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Warrington Rylands - Chorley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWWL
- Curzon Ashton
English NPL Premier Division
10.10.26	Curzon Ashton - Hyde United	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Curzon Ashton - Redcar Athletic	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Curzon Ashton - Stalybridge Celtic	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.09.26	Lancaster City - Curzon Ashton	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Curzon Ashton - Bradford Park Avenue	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL

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