The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Whitby Town 17.7%
Draw 21%
Curzon Ashton 61.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.7%
24%
51.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.1%
23.5%
52.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Whitby Town's form might have worsened.
Curzon Ashton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Curzon Ashton's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Whitby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Curzon Ashton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Whitby Town - Curzon Ashton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Hickman C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 13th and 7th in the Promotion - NPL Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
Whitby has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Curzon Ashton shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this matchup, Curzon Ashton is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Whitby has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Whitby against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.