Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 22

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Stocksbridge Park Steels

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	3.85
	1.76	3.72	3.99
	1.76	3.95	4.04	Watch
	1.73	3.3	4
	1.74	3.35	4.39
	1.8	3.66	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.69)	3.54 ↓ (3.59)	4.01 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
51.5%

Draw
25.8%

Stocksbridge Park Steels
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

25.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

23.6%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Stocksbridge Park Steels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Gainsborough Trinity - Stocksbridge Park Steels Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gainsborough (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gainsborough (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 0, Tuntulwana S. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Gainsborough has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stocksbridge is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stocksbridge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gainsborough is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gainsborough won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
06.12.25	Warrington Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:3 ✺
02.12.25	Morpeth Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Hebburn Town	1:4 ✺
22.11.25	Prescot Cables - Gainsborough Trinity	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Alfreton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLTL
- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English NPL Premier Division
10.12.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - United of Manchester	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Lancaster City	1:4 ✺
22.11.25	Ilkeston - Stocksbridge Park Steels	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Marine - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
10.09.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2

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