Match Info

National League - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: York Community Stadium (York)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	York City		Southend United

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	4.33
	1.7	3.9	4.25	Watch
	1.68	4.03	4.4	Watch
	1.67	3.75	4.4
	1.67	3.76	4.27	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.68)	3.92 ↑ (3.78)	4.33 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
55.2%

Draw
23.5%

Southend United
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

24.3%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

23.8%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

York City - Southend United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. York (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Male H. (G) 29. Johnson Z. 5. Howe C. (C) 3. Kitching M. 12. Grey J. 18. Batty D. 21. Boateng H. 30. Newby A. 22. Olley G. 9. Stones J. 10. Pearce O.	30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 16. Taylor H. 9. Dallas A. 3. Ralph N. (C) 17. Miley C. 2. Scott-Morriss G. 28. Coker O. 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 33. Boyes H. 21. Cardwell H. 15. Gubbins J.
Substitutes
14. Brookes B. 2. Fallowfield R. 17. Hewitt C. 8. Hunt A. 15. King J. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G) 4. Williams M.	22. Appiah-Forson K. 10. Austin S. 7. Bridge J. 24. Kendall C. 23. Morton 18. Spasov S. 11. Walker J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Cardwell H. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Cardwell H. ⚽, Scott-Morriss G. (A),
33', Cardwell H. ↓, Spasov S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Johnson Z. 🟨,
53', Ralph N. 🟨,
65', Batty D. ↓, Hunt A. ↑,
65', Olley G. ↓, King J. ↑,
67', Chambers-Parillon L. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
67', Dallas A. ↓, Austin S. ↑,
68', Coker O. ↓, Appiah-Forson K. ↑,
70', King J. 🟨,
82', Walker J. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Pearce O. ⚽, King J. (A),
88', Miley C. ↓, Morton ↑,
90+1', Newby A. ↓, Brookes B. ↑,
90+6', Kitching M. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, York is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, York won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, York won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Southend	13	8	3	2	31:19	12	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League
10.01.26	Sutton United - York City	1:2 ✺
30.12.25	Altrincham - York City	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	York City - Boston United	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	York City - Truro City	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Clitheroe - York City	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTWL
- Southend United
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Bath City - Southend United	1:3 ✺
English National League
30.12.25	Southend United - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Braintree Town - Southend United	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Tamworth - Southend United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Southend United - Truro City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
20.08.25	Southend United - York City	0:0
21.12.24	York City - Southend United	3:0
10.08.24	Southend United - York City	1:1
10.02.24	Southend United - York City	0:1
16.09.23	York City - Southend United	3:0
English FA Trophy
11.02.23	Southend United - York City	0:2
English National League
04.02.23	Southend United - York City	2:0

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