Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nottingham Forest		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.9	1.91
	4.1	3.9	1.8
	3.7	3.9	1.95
	4.15	4.09	1.84
	4.03	3.95	1.89	Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.85
	3.93	4	1.9	Watch
	4	4	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (3.97)	3.93 ↓ (4.04)	1.87 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
24.5%

Draw
24.3%

Liverpool
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

23.7%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

23.3%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	9.5%	85.7%

Nottingham Forest - Liverpool Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Liverpool (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Nottingham (3.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (72 of 84 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.23% – 93.19%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 1 - 4%). Liverpool (votes: 23 - 92%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Ortega S. (G) 34. Aina O. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 3. Williams N. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 21. Hutchinson O. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 19. Igor Jesus	1. Alisson (G) 8. Szoboszlai D. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 38. Gravenberch R. 10. Mac Allister A. 11. Salah M. 17. Jones C. 18. Gakpo C. 22. Ekitike H.
Substitutes
29. Bakwa D. 23. Cunha 16. Dominguez N. 18. Gunn A. (G) 20. Lucca L. 24. McAtee J. 4. Morato 14. Ndoye D. 22. Yates R.	14. Chiesa F. 2. Gomez J. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 68. Morrison K. 73. Ngumoha R. 42. Nyoni T. 47. Ramsay C. 26. Robertson A. 28. Woodman F. (G)
Coaches
Pereira V.	Slot A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Gibbs-White M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Aina O. 🟨,
66', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, Ndoye D. ↑,
66', Hutchinson O. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
77', Igor Jesus ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
77', Anderson E. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
77', Salah M. ↓, Ngumoha R. ↑,
77', Gakpo C. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
83', Jones C. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
83', Kerkez M. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
90+3', Gibbs-White M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 1, Mac Allister A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 2.

Recent performances by Nottingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Liverpool is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Liverpool has had a series of home games.

In this match, Liverpool is the team to beat.

There will not play in Nottingham: Boly W. (Knee Injury) John Victor (Knee Injury) Sels M. (Groin Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Endo W. (Injury) Frimpong J. (Injury) Isak A. (Broken Leg) Leoni G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Savona N. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Liverpool: 7.96% Nottingham: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7:4	3	9
13	Nottingham	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Liverpool - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 52.11%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Leeds United - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Nottingham Forest - Ferencvárosi	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLTW
- Liverpool FC
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Sunderland - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Liverpool - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Liverpool - Newcastle United	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Liverpool - Qarabağ Agdam	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
22.11.25	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	0:3
14.01.25	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	1:1
14.09.24	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	0:1
02.03.24	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	0:1
29.10.23	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	3:0
22.04.23	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	3:2
22.10.22	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	1:0

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