Match Info

FA Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.49
	6.25	4.75	1.46
	5.4	4.45	1.55
	5.8	4.65	1.56
	100.00	26.00	1.00	Watch
	5	4.2	1.53
	5.53	4.55	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	19 ↑ (6.41)	7.56 ↑ (4.87)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
6%

Draw
15.2%

Liverpool
78.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

19.3%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

18.7%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wolverhampton Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liverpool's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolverhampton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liverpool, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Wolverhampton (4.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 2 - 25%). Liverpool (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Johnstone S. (G) 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Bueno S. 24. Toti (C) 38. Tchatchoua J. 27. Bellegarde J. 8. Joao Gomes 47. Gomes A. 3. Bueno H. 14. Arokodare T. 36. Mane M.	1. Alisson (G) 8. Szoboszlai D. 2. Gomez J. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 26. Robertson A. 38. Gravenberch R. 10. Mac Allister A. 11. Salah M. 17. Jones C. 73. Ngumoha R. 18. Gakpo C.
Substitutes
9. Armstrong A. 25. Bentley D. (G) 2. Doherty M. 74. Edozie T. 21. Gomes R. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan 37. Krejci L. 17. Pedro Lima 6. Wolfe D. M.	14. Chiesa F. 22. Ekitike H. 30. Frimpong J. 6. Kerkez M. 5. Konate I. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 68. Morrison K. 42. Nyoni T. 7. Wirtz F.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Slot A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Bueno S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', 0 - 1, Robertson A. ⚽, Jones C. (A),
53', 0 - 2, Salah M. ⚽, Robertson A. (A),
61', Gomes A. ↓, Armstrong A. ↑,
69', Ngumoha R. ↓, Wirtz F. ↑,
69', Salah M. ↓, Frimpong J. ↑,
71', Szoboszlai D. 🟨,
74', 0 - 3, Jones C. ⚽, Gravenberch R. (A),
75', Toti ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
75', Arokodare T. ↓, Hwang Hee-Chan ↑,
81', van Dijk V. ↓, Konate I. ↑,
82', Mac Allister A. ↓, Nyoni T. ↑,
86', Gakpo C. ↓, Morrison K. ↑,
88', Bueno H. ↓, Wolfe D. M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Hwang Hee-Chan ⚽, Johnstone S. (A),
90+5', Joao Gomes 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Liverpool is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Lacking Match Fitness) Gonzalez E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Endo W. (Injury) Isak A. (Broken Leg) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Wirtz F. (Back Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Liverpool: 8.88% Wolves: 0.72%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
03.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Grimsby Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.3 WWLTW
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
03.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Liverpool - West Ham United	5:2 ✺
22.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Sunderland - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
03.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	2:1
27.12.25	Liverpool - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1
16.02.25	Liverpool - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1
28.09.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	1:2
19.05.24	Liverpool - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0
16.09.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	1:3
01.03.23	Liverpool - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0

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