Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Anfield (Liverpool)

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Liverpool		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.25
	1.44	4.95	6.4
	1.47	4.95	6.32
	1.55	4.82	5.68	Watch
	1.4	4.4	6
	1.48	4.88	6.76	Watch
	1.46	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.54)	4.79 ↑ (4.48)	6.27 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
65%

Draw
19.8%

Brighton & Hove Albion
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

20.8%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.2%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	10.7%	7.1%

Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Liverpool (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) 8. Szoboszlai D. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 17. Jones C. 10. Mac Allister A. 11. Salah M. 7. Wirtz F. 14. Chiesa F. 18. Gakpo C.	23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 24. Kadioglu F. 30. Gross P. 17. Baleba C. 13. Hinshelwood J. 25. Gomez D. 19. Kostoulas C. 53. Howell H.
Substitutes
22. Ekitike H. 2. Gomez J. 38. Gravenberch R. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 68. Morrison K. 73. Ngumoha R. 42. Nyoni T. 47. Ramsay C. 26. Robertson A.	21. Boscagli O. 29. De Cuyper M. 20. Milner J. 11. Minteh Y. 22. Mitoma K. 10. Rutter G. 1. Verbruggen B. (G) 18. Welbeck D. 27. Wieffer M.
Coaches
Slot A.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Dunk L. 🟨,
33', Gomez D. 🟨,
41', Baleba C. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Jones C. ⚽, Kerkez M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Szoboszlai D. ⚽, Salah M. (A),
62', Howell H. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
62', Baleba C. ↓, Mitoma K. ↑,
62', Gomez D. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
67', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
68', 3 - 0, Salah M. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Wirtz F. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
72', van Hecke J. P. ↓, Boscagli O. ↑,
77', Salah M. ↓, Ngumoha R. ↑,
77', Chiesa F. ↓, Ekitike H. ↑,
81', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Wieffer M. ↑,
89', Jones C. ↓, Nyoni T. ↑,
89', Gakpo C. ↓, Ramsay C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 4.

Liverpool has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brighton & Hove's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Liverpool is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:25. (average 2.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:10. (average 2.4:1).

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Liverpool: 8.85% Brighton: 2.57%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
11.02.26	Sunderland - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Liverpool - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Liverpool - Newcastle United	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Liverpool - Qarabağ Agdam	6:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.01.26	Bournemouth - Liverpool	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWL
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
11.02.26	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Fulham - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.12.25	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0
19.05.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	3:2
02.11.24	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
English League Cup
30.10.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	2:3
English Premier League
31.03.24	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
08.10.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	2:2
English FA Cup
29.01.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	2:1

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