Match Info

Date: 18 August 2021, Wednesday


	Gamba Osaka		Matsumoto Yamaga

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6.5
	1.42	4	6.75
	1.47	4.1	6.5
	1.46	3.85	6
	1.47	4.33	7.09
	1.47	3.75	6.5
	1.5	4.2	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)	4.06 ↑ (4.05)	6.55 ↑ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gamba Osaka
63%

Draw
22.8%

Matsumoto Yamaga
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

22.7%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.9%

19.1%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Gamba Osaka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gamba Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Gamba Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Gamba Osaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of guest games.

In this match Gamba Osaka is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League
13.08.21	Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka	0:1 ✺
09.08.21	Tokushima Vortis - Gamba Osaka	2:1 ✺
06.08.21	Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:3 ✺
03.08.21	Vegalta Sendai - Gamba Osaka	0:1 ✺
30.07.21	Consadole Sapporo - Gamba Osaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLLWW
- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J2 League
09.08.21	Blaublitz Akita - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:4 ✺
17.07.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
11.07.21	Montedio Yamagata - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
03.07.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tokyo Verdy	2:1 ✺
26.06.21	Ryūkyū - Matsumoto Yamaga	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
30.11.19	Gamba Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga	4:1
29.06.19	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gamba Osaka	1:3
Japan J League Cup
22.05.19	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gamba Osaka	0:0
13.03.19	Gamba Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:1
Japan J1 League
20.09.15	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gamba Osaka	1:1
29.04.15	Gamba Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0
Japan J2 League
22.09.13	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gamba Osaka	2:2

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