The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Matsumoto Yamaga 25.2%
Draw 27.4%
Tokyo Verdy 47.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
28.6%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.1%
21%
54.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matsumoto Yamaga's form might have worsened.
Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokyo Verdy's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tokyo Verdy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.9%
3.2%
83.9%
Matsumoto Yamaga - Tokyo Verdy Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Matsumoto Yamaga will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 26 - 83.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 71% – 96.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Matsumoto Yamaga is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Tokyo Verdy is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Tokyo Verdy will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Matsumoto Yamaga won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
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