The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shimizu S-Pulse 35.8%
Draw 28.6%
Gamba Osaka 35.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.2%
26.4%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
26.2%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shimizu S-Pulse's form might have worsened.
Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gamba Osaka's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimizu S-Pulse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gamba Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Shimizu S Pulse - Gamba Osaka Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 45% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Umeda T. (G) 24. Sugai H. 4. Hasukawa S. 15. Honda Y. (C) 25. Brunetti M. 37. Koizumi K. 17. Yumiba M. 21. Matsuzaki K. 8. Inoue K. 9. Oh Se-Hun 13. Germain R.
22. Ichimori J. (G) 15. Kishimoto T. 4. Nakatani S. (C) 2. Fukuoka S. 47. Nakano S. 13. Abe S. 27. Mito R. 17. Yamashita R. 11. Jebali I. 97. Welton 41. Toshida Y.
Substitutes
7. Capixaba 50. Fujii T. 18. Hirato T. 19. Kinoshita K. 81. Kozuka K. 1. Oki Y. (G) 14. Park Seung-Wook 47. Shimamoto Y. 28. Yoshida Y.
20. Adams E. 28. Fujiwara S. 21. Hatsuse R. 1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 8. Meshino R. 24. Ogashiwa T. 67. Sasaki S. 16. Suzuki T. 7. Usami T.
Coaches
Yoshida T.
Myojin T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Honda Y. ⚽, Yumiba M. (A),
23', Yamashita R. 🟨,
24', Hatsuse R. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Matsuzaki K. ⚽, Oh Se-Hun (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Toshida Y. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
46', Mito R. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
47', Sugai H. 🟨,
64', Inoue K. ↓, Fujii T. ↑,
65', Welton ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
75', Brunetti M. ↓, Yoshida Y. ↑,
75', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Shimamoto Y. ↑,
75', Myojin T. 🟨,
76', Fukuoka S. ↓, Ogashiwa T. ↑,
77', Nakano S. ↓, Hatsuse R. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Meshino R. ⚽,
90', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Park Seung-Wook ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Jebali I. ⚽, Kishimoto T. (A),
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 10th and 18th in the Relegation - J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
Shimizu is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Gamba Osaka have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Shimizu may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Shimizu is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Shimizu: Ishikawa K.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Gamba Osaka: Handa R.
(Knee Injury)
Miura G.
(Knee Injury)
Okunuki K.
(Foot Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Knee Injury)
Yokoi Y.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Shimizu has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:25 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shimizu against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 9:13 goals (averaging 1:1.4 per game).
China
Japan
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Umeda T. (G) 
Brunetti M. 
Oh Se-Hun 
Jebali I. 
Adams E. 
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