The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gamba Osaka 40.9%
Draw 30.7%
Tokyo Verdy 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.2%
27.3%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
27%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gamba Osaka's form might have worsened.
Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokyo Verdy's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gamba Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
9.1%
18.2%
Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Verdy Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 46.4% – 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 19. Ikegaya G. 4. Nakatani S. (C) 67. Sasaki S. 21. Hatsuse R. 32. Yoshihara Y. 27. Mito R. 38. Nawata G. 23. Hummet D. 97. Welton 42. Minamino H.
21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 15. Suzuki K. 4. Hayashi N. 5. Inoue R. 7. Matsuhashi Y. 16. Hirakawa R. 10. Morita K. (C) 23. Fukazawa D. 24. Nakayama S. 14. Fukuda Y. 9. Someno I.
Substitutes
22. Ichimori J. (G) 10. Kurata S. 5. Miura G. 47. Nakano S. 44. Okunuki K. 35. Tono T. 40. Toyama S. 36. Yamamoto T. 17. Yamashita R.
40. Arai Y. 17. Inami T. 25. Kumatoriya I. 1. Matheus (G) 6. Miyahara K. 8. Saito K. 27. Shirai R. 35. Tanabe S. 45. Teranuma S.
Coaches
Wissing J.
Hiroshi J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Sasaki S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sasaki S. ↓, Miura G. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Fukuda Y. ⚽, Hirakawa R. (A),
64', Nawata G. ↓, Tono T. ↑,
64', Yoshihara Y. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
65', Welton ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
69', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Tanabe S. ↑,
69', Nakayama S. ↓, Shirai R. ↑,
80', Minamino H. ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
82', Fukuda Y. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
Recent performances by Gamba Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tokyo Verdy has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Tokyo Verdy has had a series of away games.
In this match, Gamba Osaka is the team to beat.
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Fukuoka S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Handa R.
(Knee Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamami H.
(Knee Injury)
Yoshida T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Meshino R.
(Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
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Higashiguchi M. (G) 
Hummet D. 
Welton 
Wissing J. 
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