The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tokyo Verdy 34.5%
Draw 31.6%
Gamba Osaka 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
30.1%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
30.3%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Tokyo Verdy - Gamba Osaka Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 15. Suzuki K. 5. Inoue R. 6. Miyahara K. 7. Matsuhashi Y. 16. Hirakawa R. 10. Morita K. (C) 23. Fukazawa D. 40. Arai Y. 14. Fukuda Y. 9. Someno I.
22. Ichimori J. (G) 15. Kishimoto T. 19. Ikegaya G. 67. Sasaki S. 47. Nakano S. 32. Yoshihara Y. 27. Mito R. (C) 35. Tono T. 38. Nawata G. 44. Okunuki K. 42. Minamino H.
Substitutes
17. Inami T. 30. Kawamura G. 25. Kumatoriya I. 36. Matsuda R. 31. Mawatari H. (G) 8. Saito K. 27. Shirai R. 35. Tanabe S. 45. Teranuma S.
48. Fujimoto Y. 45. Maruoka K. 46. Murata K. 41. Nakamura J. 40. Toyama S. 31. Zhang A. (G)
Coaches
Hiroshi J.
Wissing J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Hirakawa R. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Nawata G. ⚽, Tono T. (A),
26', Inoue R. ↓, Shirai R. ↑,
38', Yoshihara Y. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Kishimoto T. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 1 - 2, Nakano S. ⚽, Yoshihara Y. (A),
57', Tono T. ↓, Nakamura J. ↑,
57', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Tanabe S. ↑,
57', Hirakawa R. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
58', Sasaki S. 🟨,
61', Nakano S. 🟨,
67', Sasaki S. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
67', Okunuki K. ↓, Maruoka K. ↑,
73', Arai Y. ↓, Kawamura G. ↑,
73', Fukuda Y. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Ikegaya G. (Own goal),
84', Yoshihara Y. ↓, Fujimoto Y. ↑,
88', 2 - 3, Nawata G. ⚽, Kishimoto T. (A),
90+6', 2 - 4, Toyama S. ⚽, Nawata G. (A),
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 0.
Recent form of Tokyo Verdy has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gamba Osaka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Tokyo Verdy has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamami H.
(Knee Injury)
Yoshida T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Fukuoka S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Handa R.
(Knee Injury)
Ichimori J.
(Finger Injury)
Sasaki S.
(Muscle Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Knee Injury)
Yokoi Y.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
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Nagasawa Y. (G) 
Wissing J. 
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