Match Info

K League 1 - Round 7

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Suwon Sports Complex (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
South-korea	Coupang Play, Sky Sports Korea
World	K League TV


	Suwon		Pohang Steelers

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.55	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.45	Watch
	3	3.1	2.35
	3.08	3.15	2.37	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.45
	3.34	3.01	2.38	Watch
	3	3.1	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.79)	3.12 ↓ (3.26)	2.41 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon
31.2%

Draw
30%

Pohang Steelers
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

28.6%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28.7%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Pohang Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	50%	41.7%

Suwon - Pohang Steelers Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Suwon will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Pohang will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Suwon (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Suwon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ahn Jun-Su (G) 4. Kim Tae-Han 20. Lee Ji-Sol 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 21. Seo Jae-Min 14. Yoon Bit-Garam (C) 7. Lee Jae-Won 99. Abanda L. 97. Luan Dias 70. Anderson Oliveira 9. Sabbag P.	21. Hwang In-Jae (G) 13. Kang Min-Jun 4. Jeon Min-kwang (C) 24. Han Hyeon-Seo 26. Lee Tae-Seok 2. Eo Jeong-Won 17. Shin Kwang-Hoon 8. Oberdan 97. da Rocha Junior J. 19. Lee Ho-Jae 6. Kim Jong-Woo
Substitutes
13. Hwang In-Taek 1. Hwang Jae-yun (G) 34. Jang Yun-Ho 28. Kim Jae-Sung 11. Lee Joon-Suk 33. Lee Taek-Geun 77. Ofkir M. 17. Park Yong-Hui 8. Roh Kyung-Ho	10. Baek Sung-Dong 99. Cho Sang-Hyeok 16. Han Chan-Hee 37. Hong Yun-Sang 33. Jo Sung-Wook 18. Kang Hyeon-Je 7. Kim In-Sung 66. Lee Chang-Woo 1. Yun Pyeong-Gook (G)
Coaches
Kim Eun-joong	Park Tae-Ha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Oberdan 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Sabbag P. ⚽, Abanda L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kim Jong-Woo ↓, Cho Sang-Hyeok ↑,
46', Shin Kwang-Hoon ↓, Han Chan-Hee ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Oberdan ⚽, da Rocha Junior J. (A),
53', Abanda L. ↓, Lee Taek-Geun ↑,
71', Luan Dias ↓, Roh Kyung-Ho ↑,
71', Seo Jae-Min ↓, Hwang In-Taek ↑,
74', Lee Ji-Sol 🟨,
76', Eo Jeong-Won ↓, Kang Hyeon-Je ↑,
76', da Rocha Junior J. ↓, Hong Yun-Sang ↑,
80', Sabbag P. ↓, Lee Joon-Suk ↑,
89', Han Chan-Hee 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Suwon won 1.

Suwon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pohang is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Suwon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Suwon won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19:23 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Suwon won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
30.03.25	Jeju - Suwon	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Suwon - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Suwon - FC Seoul	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Daejeon Citizen - Suwon	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Daegu - Suwon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTLL
- Pohang Steelers
South Korean K-League 1
29.03.25	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Gwangju - Pohang Steelers	2:3 ✺
16.03.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Pohang Steelers	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Pohang Steelers - Daegu	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
18.10.24	Pohang Steelers - Suwon	1:1
06.10.24	Pohang Steelers - Suwon	1:1
19.05.24	Suwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0
02.04.24	Pohang Steelers - Suwon	1:1
16.09.23	Pohang Steelers - Suwon	2:0
02.07.23	Pohang Steelers - Suwon	3:1
04.03.23	Suwon - Pohang Steelers	1:2

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