Match Info

K League 1 - Round 8

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Suwon Sports Complex (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
South-korea	Coupang Play, Sky Sports Korea
World	K League TV, Onefootball


	Suwon		Gimcheon Sangmu

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.7	3.5	1.93	Watch
	3.4	3.35	2.06
	3.47	3.48	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.6	1.91
	3.51	3.54	2.07	Watch
	3.4	3.35	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (3.79)	3.46 ↓ (3.47)	2.03 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon
26.6%

Draw
27.1%

Gimcheon Sangmu
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

26.9%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

26.7%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Suwon - Gimcheon Sangmu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Gimcheon Sangmu will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ahn Jun-Su (G) 4. Kim Tae-Han 20. Lee Ji-Sol 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 33. Lee Taek-Geun 14. Yoon Bit-Garam 7. Lee Jae-Won 99. Abanda L. 97. Luan Dias 70. Anderson Oliveira 9. Sabbag P.	1. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 25. Park Seung-Wook 3. Kim Min-Duk 20. Park Chan-Yong 22. Choi Ye-Hoon 10. Mo Jae-Hyeon 30. Kim Bong-Soo 4. Seo Min-Woo 7. Kim Seung-Sub 14. Lee Dong-Gyeong 9. Yu Kang-Hyun
Substitutes
13. Hwang In-Taek 1. Hwang Jae-yun (G) 34. Jang Yun-Ho 28. Kim Jae-Sung 11. Lee Joon-Suk 2. Lee Yong 77. Ofkir M. 8. Roh Kyung-Ho 21. Seo Jae-Min	26. Cho Hyun-Taek 24. Hong Uk-Hyeon 32. Jeong Myeong-Jae (G) 11. Lee Dong-Jun 88. Lee Jin-Yong 8. Lee Seung-Won 19. Park Sang-Hyeok 66. Park Soo-Il 18. Won Ki-Jong
Coaches
Kim Eun-joong	Chung Jung-Yong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 1 - 0, Sabbag P. ⚽, Anderson Oliveira (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Abanda L. ↓, Ofkir M. ↑,
46', Mo Jae-Hyeon ↓, Lee Dong-Jun ↑,
46', Kim Min-Duk ↓, Park Soo-Il ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Lee Dong-Gyeong ⚽, Yu Kang-Hyun (A),
46', Choi Ye-Hoon ↓, Cho Hyun-Taek ↑,
52', Lee Hyeon-yong 🟨,
63', Lee Taek-Geun ↓, Seo Jae-Min ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Lee Dong-Jun ⚽,
71', Lee Jae-Won ↓, Roh Kyung-Ho ↑,
71', Lee Dong-Gyeong ↓, Lee Seung-Won ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Yoon Bit-Garam ⚽,
80', Luan Dias ↓, Kim Jae-Sung ↑,
87', 🟨,
88', Yu Kang-Hyun ↓, Park Sang-Hyeok ↑,
90+8', 3 - 2, Lee Hyeon-yong ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Suwon won 1.

Suwon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gimcheon Sangmu is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gimcheon Sangmu will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Suwon won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:25 (average 1.5:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Suwon won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:18 (average 1.4:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
05.04.25	Suwon - Pohang Steelers	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Jeju - Suwon	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Suwon - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Suwon - FC Seoul	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Daejeon Citizen - Suwon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTTL
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 1
05.04.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Anyang - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:3 ✺
03.03.25	FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
02.11.24	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon	1:0
21.09.24	Suwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:4
09.07.24	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon	2:3
30.03.24	Suwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:4
02.10.22	Suwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:2
13.09.22	Suwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1
17.06.22	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon	0:1

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