Match Info

K League 1 - Round 29

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Gimcheon Stadium (Gimcheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
South-korea	Coupang Play
Switzerland	LAOLA1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Gimcheon Sangmu		Gangwon

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.10	2.40	Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.35
	2.75	3.05	2.33
	3.03	3.30	2.53
	2.6	3.19	2.74	Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.45
	3.07	3.23	2.40	Watch
	2.90	3.15	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.15)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	2.45 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimcheon Sangmu
32.5%

Draw
29.3%

Gangwon
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

28.8%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gangwon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Park M. (G) 11. Kim Tae-Hwan 4. Kim Hyun-Woo 5. Kim Min-Kyu 3. Park Cheol-Woo (C) 8. Kim Yi-Seok 56. Lee K. 7. Go Jae-Hyeon 14. Park Se-Jin 17. Kim Joo-Chan 9. Lee G.	1. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 27. Kim Do-Hyun 24. Park H. 23. Tuci M. 5. Mammar Chaouche A. 11. Goh Young-Jun 97. Lee You-Hyeon (C) 4. Seo Min-Woo 7. Kim Dae-Won 77. Hleihel A. 9. Kim Gun-Hee
Substitutes
51. Ahn Jun-Su (G) 46. Chung M. 42. Hong Si-Hoo 48. Hong Yun-Sang 57. Jung Jae-Min 47. Lee Sang-Heon 6. Lee Soo-Bin 55. Park T. 54. Yoon Jae-Seok	96. Choe Byeong-Chan 74. Choe J. 29. Choi Jae-hyuck 26. Cho W. 33. Hong Chul 3. Jeong Seung-Bin 6. Kim Dong-Hyun 41. Kim Y. (G) 19. Park Sang-Hyeok
Coaches
Joo S.	Chung Kyung-Ho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Kim Joo-Chan ⚽,
20', Kim Min-Kyu 🟨,
36', Mammar Chaouche A. ↓, Hong Chul ↑,
36', Hleihel A. ↓, Choe Byeong-Chan ↑,
43', 2 - 0, Park Se-Jin ⚽, Kim Yi-Seok (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kim Gun-Hee ↓, Park Sang-Hyeok ↑,
46', Kim Joo-Chan ↓, Hong Yun-Sang ↑,
63', Park H. ↓, Kim Dong-Hyun ↑,
64', Park Cheol-Woo 🟨,
70', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Jeong Seung-Bin ↑,
73', Park Cheol-Woo ↓, Hong Si-Hoo ↑,
73', Park Se-Jin ↓, Lee Sang-Heon ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Kim Dae-Won ⚽, Kim Dong-Hyun (A),
82', Kim Yi-Seok ↓, Park T. ↑,
87', Tuci M. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Kim Dae-Won (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Lee Sang-Heon ↓, Jung Jae-Min ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Gangwon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gangwon	31	11	13	7	38:28	10	46
10	Gimcheon Sangmu ✔	31	5	18	8	30:37	-7	33

Last Results with these Odds

Gangwon - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 42.89%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 1
09.09.26	Pohang Steelers - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu	3:1 ✺
25.08.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Jeju - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLTT
- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
09.09.26	Gangwon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Anyang - Gangwon	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	0:0 ✺
26.08.26	Gangwon - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
18.07.26	Gangwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:0
21.04.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon	0:3
08.11.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon	0:1
09.08.25	Gangwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:0
11.05.25	Gangwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:4
30.03.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon	1:0
26.10.24	Gangwon - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:0

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