Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 15

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan)


	Ganzhou Ruishi		Hunan Billows

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.2
				Watch
	3.09	3.15	2.19
	3.13	3.19	2.2	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.15
	3.12	3.24	2.14
	3	3.15	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.58)	3.16 ↑ (3.03)	2.18 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ganzhou Ruishi
30%

Draw
28.6%

Hunan Billows
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29.6%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

31.1%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ganzhou Ruishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Hunan Billows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hunan Billows's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ganzhou Ruishi than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ganzhou Ruishi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hunan Billows than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hunan Billows, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ganzhou Ruishi - Hunan Billows Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Teng Hui (G) 9. Chen Guokang 23. Cui Wei 17. Gan Xianhao 16. Li E. 28. Li Lingwei 5. Luo Tian 22. Wu J. 12. Zhang Chenlong 3. Zhang Tianlong 19. Zhou Z.	28. Dong Jianhong (G) 6. Chen Ao 3. Chen Fangzhou 2. Hu Yongfa 25. Li Chenguang 15. Lin Jinghao 45. Lu Y. 21. Lu Yuefeng 22. Tursun Qeyser 32. Wang B. 27. Zu Pengchao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Hu Yongfa ⚽, Zu Pengchao (A),
22', Wang B. 🟨,
35', Lu Y. ↓, Yu B. ↑,
41', Cui Wei (Pen),
41', 1 - 1, Zhou Z. ⚽,
45+1', Li Chenguang 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 2, Tursun Qeyser ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Luo Tian ↓, Chen Zewen ↑,
46', Wu J. ↓, Leng Jixuan ↑,
50', 2 - 2, Chen Zewen ⚽,
56', Dong Jianhong ↓, Bai S. ↑,
56', Lu Yuefeng ↓, Jiang Zhe ↑,
66', Lin Jinghao ↓, Liao Haochuan ↑,
66', Tursun Qeyser ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
78', Chen Guokang ↓, Yang Pengju ↑,
82', Yang Pengju 🟨,
85', Li E. 🟨,
89', Cui Wei ↓, Wang Peng ↑,
90+1', 2 - 3, Liu Xinyu ⚽, Hu Yongfa (A),
90+3', Jiang Zhe 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ganzhou Ruishi
Chinese Yi League
30.06.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Shanghai Port B	1:2 ✺
23.06.24	Kunming City - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Nantong Zhiyun	1:3 ✺
Chinese Yi League
15.06.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Wenzhou Professional	0:2 ✺
08.06.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- Hunan Billows
Chinese Yi League
29.06.24	Hunan Billows - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
24.06.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Hunan Billows	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	Quanzhou Yassin - Hunan Billows	0:2 ✺
08.06.24	Hunan Billows - Shanghai Port B	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Hunan Billows - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
28.04.24	Hunan Billows - Ganzhou Ruishi	3:1

Ganzhou Ruishi - Hunan Billows: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide