Match Info

CHINA: FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan)


	Ganzhou Ruishi		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.8	1.57
	5.01	4.09	1.6
	5.01	3.83	1.6
	4.8	3.9	1.55
	5.01	4	1.59	Watch
	4.9	3.9	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↓ (6.82)	3.92 ↓ (4)	1.58 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ganzhou Ruishi
18.6%

Draw
23.4%

Nantong Zhiyun
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

22.6%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

14.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ganzhou Ruishi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ganzhou Ruishi's performance.

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nantong Zhiyun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ganzhou Ruishi than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantong Zhiyun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ganzhou Ruishi - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ganzhou Ruishi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 0 - 1, Lu Yongtao ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, Chen Rong ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, Zheng Haoqian ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ganzhou Ruishi
Chinese Yi League
15.06.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Wenzhou Professional	0:2 ✺
08.06.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Shenzhen Juniors	0:3 ✺
26.05.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Ganzhou Ruishi	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.05.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Liaoning Tieren	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
14.06.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Beijing Guoan - Nantong Zhiyun	5:2 ✺
21.05.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1 ✺
17.05.24	Zhejiang Professional - Nantong Zhiyun	5:2 ✺
10.05.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Nantong Zhiyun	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLT

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