Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 7

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Essity Stadium (Flint)

Referee: Jones J. A. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Gap Connahs Quay		Haverfordwest County

	1	X	2
	1.26	5.00	9.00
	1.22	5.15	10.5
	1.3	5.92	10
	1.3	5.68	8.28	Watch
	1.29	5.85	7.8
	1.28	5.59	9.41
	1.23	5.2	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.44)	5.48 ↑ (4.39)	9.28 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gap Connahs Quay
73.1%

Draw
16.9%

Haverfordwest County
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

19.8%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gap Connahs Quay's performance.

Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gap Connahs Quay - Haverfordwest County Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Connahs Quay will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Renshaw C. (G) 16. Deane F. 22. Ferguson J. 12. Franklin H. 9. Hodkin J. 5. Hughes A. 4. Jones J. 10. Murray I. 11. Stone M. 20. Watson R. 8. West C.	31. Rees L. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 28. Ahmun B. 19. Hackett J. 10. Hawkins D. 4. Kenniford K. 2. Rees D. 8. Shephard C. 25. Walker J. 18. Walters G. 22. Wilson J.
Substitutes
68. Liepa D. (G) 99. Mehasseb H. 34. Partridge C. 27. Redshaw F. 23. Sharif A. 7. Stephenson D. 18. Woodcock M.	23. Hughes W. 47. Myers L. (G) 15. Owen J. 14. Phillips B. 9. Rees L. 27. Thomas H. 61. Twose C.
Coaches
Disney J.	Pennock T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Wilson J. ↓, Owen J. ↑,
29', Franklin H. ↓, Woodcock M. ↑,
39', Walters G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Walker J. ⚽,
73', 1 - 1, Woodcock M. ⚽,
73', Deane F. ↓, Stephenson D. ↑,
74', Hodkin J. ↓, Mehasseb H. ↑,
76', Ahmun B. ↓, Rees L. ↑,
77', 🟨,
80', Kenniford K. 🟨,
85', Rees L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 1.

Connahs Quay is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Haverfordwest's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Connahs Quay is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Connahs Quay will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:14. (average 1.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Connahs Q.: 3.14% Haverfordwest: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Haverfordwest	12	3	1	8	7:17	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier
31.08.26	Flint Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Cambrian United	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Ammanford - Gap Connahs Quay	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Trefelin	6:0 ✺
07.08.26	Holywell Town - Gap Connahs Quay	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW
- Haverfordwest County
Welsh Cymru Premier
31.08.26	Haverfordwest County - Trefelin	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Llandudno - Haverfordwest County	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Haverfordwest County - Cambrian United	0:3 ✺
14.08.26	Haverfordwest County - Pen-y-Bont	0:3 ✺
07.08.26	The New Saints - Haverfordwest County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
25.10.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Haverfordwest County	3:3
20.09.25	Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay	1:3
12.10.24	Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay	0:0
11.08.24	Gap Connahs Quay - Haverfordwest County	0:1
19.11.23	Gap Connahs Quay - Haverfordwest County	1:2
23.09.23	Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay	1:3
31.01.23	Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1

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