Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 25

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday


	Gardabani		Aragvi Dusheti

	1	X	2
	5.02	4.06	1.53	Watch
	8.75	5.35	1.17
	5	3.8	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.26 ↑ (5.2)	4.4 ↑ (4)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gardabani
14.5%

Draw
20.6%

Aragvi Dusheti
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

22.6%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

22.4%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gardabani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Aragvi Dusheti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gardabani than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragvi Dusheti than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Gardabani - Aragvi Dusheti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Lukava G. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Gogolauri G. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Lukava G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 1 - 3, Lukava G. ⚽,
60', 1 - 4, Tutashvili N. ⚽,
68', 2 - 4, Weissow R. ⚽,
81', 2 - 5, Gabisonia D. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Promotion: )).

Recent performances by Gardabani have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aragvi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aragvi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aragvi is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gardabani won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gardabani
Georgian Liga 3
23.10.25	Margveti Zestafoni - Gardabani	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Gardabani - Borjomi	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Varketili - Gardabani	4:0 ✺
18.09.25	Gardabani - Odishi 1919	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Gardabani - Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLLWW
- Aragvi Dusheti
Georgian Liga 3
24.10.25	Aragvi Dusheti - Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Betlemi Keda - Aragvi Dusheti	3:5 ✺
10.10.25	Aragvi Dusheti - Merani Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Gori - Aragvi Dusheti	1:0 ✺
25.09.25	Aragvi Dusheti - Orbi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Liga 3
29.05.25	Aragvi Dusheti - Gardabani	2:2

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