Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 8

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday


	Garliava		Nevėžis

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.95	2.6	Watch
	3.08	3	2.2
	3.29	3.23	2.14	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.26)	3.03 ↓ (3.05)	2.37 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garliava
31.2%

Draw
30.2%

Nevėžis
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garliava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Garliava's form might have worsened.

Nevėžis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nevėžis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Garliava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nevėžis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Garliava - Nevėžis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valeckas D. (G) 23. Akinis N. 28. Barila M. 13. Dohemeto S. V. 10. Gustavo L. 3. Kontenis D. 8. Pablo Alves Pereira I. 17. Paura A. 5. Rakasius T. (C) 11. Spycius A. 6. Vasiliauskas M.	31. Bagdonavicius R. (G) 23. Gavrylyuk N. 14. Kasahara Y. 22. Lukosevicius A. (C) 30. Monkelis M. 91. Petkevicius M. 99. Rukuiza K. 17. Skibiniauskas V. 9. Slobodian A. 12. Yaghr F. 10. Yoon Jong-Tae
Substitutes
9. Ambrazevicius I. 7. Cepkauskas L. 33. Chibueze Ekubo D. 99. Gryshyn D. (G) 18. Janusa K. 21. Kabosius A. 25. Kraskovskyi K. 19. Obolevicius K. 27. Pedro R. 77. Sudakovas P. 14. Sumskis A.	44. Aoyama T. 5. Avizovas U. 13. Berednikovas L. 34. Granauskas R. (G) 7. Horikoshi T. 55. Morkunas D. 25. Spontas A. 8. Ter-Tovmasyan A. 11. Yamada H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Vasiliauskas M. ↓, Cepkauskas L. ↑,
56', Paura A. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Dohemeto S. V. ⚽,
61', Cepkauskas L. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Yamada H. ⚽,
68', Paura A. ↓, Obolevicius K. ↑,
69', Spycius A. ↓, Pedro R. ↑,
69', Akinis N. ↓, Sudakovas P. ↑,
75', Lukosevicius A. 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 6).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Garliava won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Garliava won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
26.04.24	Neptūnas - Garliava	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Garliava - Babrungas Plungė	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Minija Kretinga - Garliava	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Garliava - Tauras Tauragė	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Garliava - Ekranas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTW
- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
26.04.24	Nevėžis - Ekranas	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	BFA Vilnius - Nevėžis	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Nevėžis - FA Šiauliai B	1:0 ✺
29.03.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Nevėžis	1:2 ✺
22.03.24	Nevėžis - Panevėžys 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
18.08.23	Nevėžis - Garliava	1:1
01.04.23	Garliava - Nevėžis	0:0
12.11.22	Garliava - Nevėžis	1:1
06.07.22	Nevėžis - Garliava	3:1

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