The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Garliava 46.8%
Draw 25%
Panevėžys 2 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.7%
25.5%
47.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.9%
24.7%
49.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Garliava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Garliava's performance.
Panevėžys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panevėžys 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (-20.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Garliava that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (+21.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panevėžys 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Garliava - Panevėžys 2 Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Garliava will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Panevėžys 2 will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Garliava: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Valeckas D. (G) 23. Akinis N. 28. Barila M. 7. Cepkauskas L. 13. Dohemeto S. V. 3. Kontenis D. 25. Kraskovskyi K. 19. Obolevicius K. 27. Pedro R. 5. Rakasius T. (C) 11. Spycius A.
20. Balsys D. 9. Jusys A. 97. Karvatskyi A. 11. Lazdinauskas R. 7. Misiunas R. (C) 5. Pompilio E. 18. Puikis E. 16. Sonkevicius K. 10. Trakselis A. 12. Usas L. 77. Venckus I.
Substitutes
10. Ambrazevicius I. 33. Chibueze Ekubo D. 12. Dzekcioras K. (G) 21. Kabosius A. 31. Kvedarauskas M. 4. Slyusarenko D. 77. Sudakovas P. 24. Sumskis A.
30. Dilys M. 2. Gleveckas D. 23. Lukosevicius I. 45. Malatokas M. 29. Muraska G. 17. Pusnys M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Karvatskyi A. ⚽,
42', Dohemeto S. V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Kontenis D. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Karvatskyi A. ⚽,
63', Spycius A. ↓, Kabosius A. ↑,
64', Obolevicius K. 🟨,
73', Puikis E. ↓, Pusnys M. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Pedro R. ⚽,
81', Barila M. ↓, Ambrazevicius I. ↑,
81', Trakselis A. ↓, Dilys M. ↑,
90+5', Sudakovas P. 🟨,
90+5', Lazdinauskas R. 🟨,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).
Garliava has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Panevėžys 2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Panevėžys 2 is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Garliava won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Garliava won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.