Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Gateshead		Hereford

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.5	5.5
	1.42	4.4	5.5
	1.42	5.4	4.8
	1.41	5.24	6.18
	1.52	3.8	5.5
	1.38	4.9	6.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.59)	4.71 ↑ (4.27)	5.67 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
64.3%

Draw
19.5%

Hereford
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

21.3%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

20.7%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gateshead's performance.

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hereford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gateshead that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Gateshead - Hereford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 11).

Gateshead is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for National League

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 4.

Gateshead is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hereford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Gateshead is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gateshead to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Gateshead won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League North
02.05.22	Chorley - Gateshead	2:2 ✺
30.04.22	Gateshead - Southport	3:1 ✺
23.04.22	Kettering Town - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
18.04.22	Gateshead - Darlington	4:2 ✺
15.04.22	Guiseley - Gateshead	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWTWW
- Hereford FC
English National League North
02.05.22	Hereford - Brackley Town	2:2 ✺
30.04.22	Spennymoor Town - Hereford	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	Hereford - Bradford Park Avenue	3:2 ✺
18.04.22	Gloucester City - Hereford	1:0 ✺
15.04.22	Hereford - AFC Telford United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
15.01.22	Hereford - Gateshead	0:2
06.02.21	Hereford - Gateshead	Canceled
04.01.20	Gateshead - Hereford	2:0
17.09.19	Hereford - Gateshead	2:1
English National League
12.04.14	Hereford - Gateshead	0:1
07.09.13	Gateshead - Hereford	2:1
13.04.13	Hereford - Gateshead	1:1

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