Match Info

Date: 15 April 2022, Friday


	Guiseley		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	6	4.4	1.39
	6.1	4.25	1.4
	6.4	4.4	1.4
	6.89	4.17	1.47
	7	4	1.42
	6.65	4.4	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.51 ↓ (6.88)	4.27 ↓ (4.28)	1.42 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
14.1%

Draw
21.4%

Gateshead
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

21.3%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

20.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Guiseley - Gateshead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guiseley won 1.

Guiseley is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gateshead is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gateshead could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Guiseley have a series of guest games.

In this match Gateshead is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Guiseley won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Guiseley won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English National League North
12.04.22	Kettering Town - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
09.04.22	Gloucester City - Guiseley	4:1 ✺
05.04.22	Farsley - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
02.04.22	Chorley - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Guiseley - Chester	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLLL
- Gateshead
English National League North
09.04.22	Gateshead - Chester	4:3 ✺
02.04.22	Brackley Town - Gateshead	1:0 ✺
26.03.22	Gateshead - Bradford Park Avenue	0:0 ✺
22.03.22	Gateshead - Curzon Ashton	4:0 ✺
19.03.22	Boston United - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
30.08.21	Gateshead - Guiseley	2:1
16.01.21	Gateshead - Guiseley	1:0
22.02.20	Guiseley - Gateshead	2:2
02.11.19	Gateshead - Guiseley	2:3
English National League
13.02.18	Guiseley - Gateshead	0:1
English FA Trophy
20.12.17	Gateshead - Guiseley	2:1 ET
English National League
08.08.17	Gateshead - Guiseley	1:0

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