Match Info

Date: 2 May 2022, Monday


	Chorley		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.87
	3.15	3.55	1.97
	3.35	3.55	1.91
	3.78	3.61	1.91
	3.6	3.4	1.88
	3.68	3.68	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.91)	3.55 ↓ (3.57)	1.9 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chorley
26.2%

Draw
25.7%

Gateshead
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

25.5%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

25.3%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	36.4%	36.4%

Chorley - Gateshead Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Chorley will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Gateshead will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gateshead: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Recent matches Chorley is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gateshead in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gateshead will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chorley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Chorley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chorley
English National League North
30.04.22	Gloucester City - Chorley	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Chorley - AFC Telford United	1:0 ✺
18.04.22	Curzon Ashton - Chorley	1:0 ✺
15.04.22	Chorley - Alfreton Town	1:2 ✺
12.04.22	Chorley - York City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLLT
- Gateshead
English National League North
30.04.22	Gateshead - Southport	3:1 ✺
23.04.22	Kettering Town - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
18.04.22	Gateshead - Darlington	4:2 ✺
15.04.22	Guiseley - Gateshead	0:6 ✺
09.04.22	Gateshead - Chester	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
08.01.22	Gateshead - Chorley	0:1
English FA Cup
03.10.20	Chorley - Gateshead	2:1

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