Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Gateshead		Southport

	1	X	2
	1.27	5	8.5
	1.38	4	7
	1.28	5	8.6
	1.28	5.44	10.46
	1.38	4.2	7.5
	1.28	5.2	9.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.35)	4.81 ↑ (4.48)	8.56 ↑ (7.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
70.1%

Draw
19.1%

Southport
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.4%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

19.5%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Gateshead - Southport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 3.

Gateshead is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Southport is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Gateshead is indisputable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Gateshead won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League North
23.04.22	Kettering Town - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
18.04.22	Gateshead - Darlington	4:2 ✺
15.04.22	Guiseley - Gateshead	0:6 ✺
09.04.22	Gateshead - Chester	4:3 ✺
02.04.22	Brackley Town - Gateshead	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWWWL
- Southport
English National League North
23.04.22	Southport - Spennymoor Town	1:1 ✺
18.04.22	Farsley - Southport	2:0 ✺
15.04.22	Southport - Fylde	0:0 ✺
12.04.22	Southport - Leamington	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Southport	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
04.09.21	Southport - Gateshead	3:3
21.11.20	Gateshead - Southport	4:1
03.08.19	Gateshead - Southport	0:0
English National League
04.02.17	Gateshead - Southport	3:0
09.08.16	Southport - Gateshead	0:3
08.12.15	Gateshead - Southport	0:1
18.08.15	Southport - Gateshead	1:2

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